NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ATL CLE
Points 114.2 120.6
Total Points   234.8
Points From 2-Pointers 56.1 59.6
Points From 3-Pointers 40.6 44.7
Points From Free Throws 17.5 16.3
Shooting ATL CLE
Field Goals Made 41.6 44.7
Field Goals Attempted 89.6 87.3
Field Goal % 46.5% 51.2%
2 Pointers Made 28.1 29.8
2 Pointers Attempted 53.7 49.4
2 Point Shooting % 52.3% 60.3%
3 Pointers Made 13.5 14.9
3 Pointers Attempted 35.9 37.9
3 Point Shooting % 37.7% 39.3%
Free Throws Made 17.5 16.3
Free Throws Attempted 22.3 21.4
Free Throw % 78.3% 76.1%
Ball Control ATL CLE
Rebounds 47.5 47.9
Rebounds - Defensive 34.7 37.5
Rebounds - Offensive 12.8 10.4
Turnovers 12.1 12.7
Blocked Shots 4.3 4.7
Steals 7.0 6.8
Fouls 17.3 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ATL CLE
Total Possessions 102.1
Effective Scoring Chances 102.7 99.8
% of Possessions with ATL CLE
2 Point Attempt 46.0% 43.3%
3 Point Attempt 30.7% 33.1%
Player Fouled 15.7% 16.9%
Turnover 11.9% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken ATL CLE
Shot Blocked 5.5% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 25.4% 23.1%