NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ATL MEM
Points 117.3 114.1
Total Points   231.4
Points From 2-Pointers 55.8 54.2
Points From 3-Pointers 42.7 42.7
Points From Free Throws 18.8 17.2
Shooting ATL MEM
Field Goals Made 42.1 41.4
Field Goals Attempted 89.9 88.6
Field Goal % 46.9% 46.7%
2 Pointers Made 27.9 27.1
2 Pointers Attempted 51.9 50.2
2 Point Shooting % 53.8% 54.0%
3 Pointers Made 14.2 14.2
3 Pointers Attempted 38.0 38.4
3 Point Shooting % 37.4% 37.1%
Free Throws Made 18.8 17.2
Free Throws Attempted 24.0 22.4
Free Throw % 78.3% 76.6%
Ball Control ATL MEM
Rebounds 51.1 48.5
Rebounds - Defensive 37.1 36.0
Rebounds - Offensive 14.0 12.5
Turnovers 13.5 14.1
Blocked Shots 5.6 6.6
Steals 7.3 7.7
Fouls 17.2 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ATL MEM
Total Possessions 103.3
Effective Scoring Chances 103.7 101.7
% of Possessions with ATL MEM
2 Point Attempt 43.3% 42.5%
3 Point Attempt 31.7% 32.5%
Player Fouled 17.1% 16.6%
Turnover 13.1% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken ATL MEM
Shot Blocked 7.6% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 28.0% 25.2%