ATS Situational Trends

Record ATL adv MIA
Season 37-29-1 29-35-2
vs Division 5-3-1 3-9-0
vs Conference 20-17-1 17-19-1
Streak W3 L1
Last 5 3-2-0 2-2-1
Last 10 6-4-0 6-3-1
Home 21-11-0 13-19-2
Away 16-18-1 16-16-0

Atlanta Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
12/23 Away Chicago -2.0 W by 20 +18.0
12/26 Away Memphis +2.5 W by 10 +12.5
12/28 Home Detroit -10.5 W by 8 -2.5
12/30 Away Brooklyn +5.5 L by 4 +1.5
01/01 Away Brooklyn +6.5 W by 18 +24.5
01/02 Home Cleveland -5.5 L by 5 -10.5
01/04 Home New York -7.5 L by 5 -12.5
01/06 Home Charlotte -6.0 L by 8 -14.0
01/09 Away Charlotte -5.0 L by 8 -13.0
01/11 Home Philadelphia -6.0 W by 18 +12.0
01/15 Away Utah +6.5 L by 24 -17.5
01/16 Away Portland +5.0 L by 6 -1.0
01/18 Home Minnesota -7.0 W by 11 +4.0
01/20 Home Detroit -4.5 W by 8 +3.5
01/22 Away Minnesota -6.0 W by 18 +12.0
01/24 Away Milwaukee +12.0 L by 14 -2.0
01/26 Home LA Clippers -6.0 W by 9 +3.0
01/27 Home Brooklyn +6.0 L by 4 +2.0
01/29 Away Washington -3.0 W by 16 +13.0
02/01 Home LA Lakers +7.0 L by 8 -1.0
02/03 Home Dallas +2.0 L by 6 -4.0
02/04 Home Utah +10.0 L by 21 -11.0
02/06 Home Toronto +1.0 W by 11 +12.0
02/10 Away Dallas +3.5 L by 1 +2.5
02/12 Home San Antonio -2.5 L by 11 -13.5
02/13 Home Indiana +1.5 L by 12 -10.5
02/15 Away New York -1.5 L by 11 -12.5
02/17 Away Boston +1.5 W by 8 +9.5
02/19 Away Boston +4.5 L by 12 -7.5
02/21 Home Denver +2.5 W by 8 +10.5
02/23 Away Cleveland -7.5 L by 1 -8.5
02/24 Home Boston +1.0 W by 15 +16.0
02/26 Away Okla City -5.5 L by 9 -14.5
02/28 Away Miami +2.5 L by 10 -7.5
03/02 Away Miami +2.0 W by 14 +16.0
03/03 Away Orlando -3.0 W by 3 0.0
03/11 Away Toronto -3.0 W by 1 -2.0
03/13 Home Sacramento -4.0 W by 15 +11.0
03/14 Home Cleveland -5.5 W by 18 +12.5
03/16 Away Houston -8.5 W by 12 +3.5
03/18 Home Okla City -8.0 W by 23 +15.0
03/20 Away LA Lakers +3.5 W by 5 +8.5
03/22 Away LA Clippers +6.5 L by 9 -2.5
03/24 Away Sacramento -3.0 L by 2 -5.0
03/26 Away Golden State -7.0 W by 16 +9.0
03/28 Away Denver +5.0 L by 24 -19.0
03/30 Away Phoenix +5.5 L by 7 -1.5
04/01 Away San Antonio +1.0 W by 5 +6.0
04/02 Away New Orleans -1.5 W by 23 +21.5
04/04 Home Golden State -1.5 W by 6 +4.5
04/06 Home New Orleans -3.5 W by 16 +12.5
04/07 Home Memphis +1.5 L by 18 -16.5
04/09 Home Chicago -2.5 W by 12 +9.5
04/11 Away Charlotte +2.5 W by 4 +6.5
04/13 Away Toronto +1.5 W by 5 +6.5
04/15 Home Milwaukee +4.0 L by 11 -7.0
04/18 Home Indiana -2.0 W by 12 +10.0
04/20 Home Orlando -12.5 W by 16 +3.5
04/21 Away New York -1.5 L by 10 -11.5
04/23 Home Miami +6.5 W by 15 +21.5
04/25 Home Milwaukee +5.5 W by 7 +12.5
04/26 Away Detroit -4.5 L by 14 -18.5
04/28 Away Philadelphia +9.5 L by 44 -34.5
04/30 Away Philadelphia +7.5 L by 22 -14.5
05/01 Home Chicago -8.5 W by 11 +2.5
05/03 Home Portland -2.5 W by 9 +6.5
05/05 Home Phoenix +1.0 W by 32 +33.0

Miami Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
12/23 Away Orlando -4.5 L by 6 -10.5
12/25 Home New Orleans -3.0 W by 13 +10.0
12/29 Home Milwaukee +6.0 L by 47 -41.0
12/30 Home Milwaukee +6.5 W by 11 +17.5
01/01 Away Dallas -1.5 L by 10 -11.5
01/04 Home Okla City -9.5 W by 28 +18.5
01/06 Home Boston -2.5 L by 2 -4.5
01/09 Away Washington -10.5 W by 4 -6.5
01/12 Away Philadelphia +8.5 L by 3 +5.5
01/14 Away Philadelphia +7.5 L by 17 -9.5
01/16 Home Detroit -5.5 L by 20 -25.5
01/18 Home Detroit -6.0 W by 6 0.0
01/20 Away Toronto +4.0 W by 9 +13.0
01/22 Away Toronto +2.5 L by 20 -17.5
01/23 Away Brooklyn +8.0 L by 4 +4.0
01/25 Away Brooklyn +7.0 L by 13 -6.0
01/27 Home Denver +6.0 L by 27 -21.0
01/28 Home LA Clippers -2.0 L by 4 -6.0
01/30 Home Sacramento -6.5 W by 1 -5.5
02/01 Home Charlotte -7.5 L by 8 -15.5
02/03 Home Washington -9.0 L by 3 -12.0
02/05 Home Washington -7.5 W by 27 +19.5
02/07 Away New York -5.5 W by 6 +0.5
02/09 Home New York -6.5 W by 2 -4.5
02/11 Away Houston -1.5 W by 7 +5.5
02/13 Away Utah +7.0 L by 18 -11.0
02/15 Away LA Clippers -6.5 L by 7 -13.5
02/17 Away Golden State +1.0 L by 8 -7.0
02/18 Away Sacramento -1.0 W by 8 +7.0
02/20 Away LA Lakers +3.5 W by 2 +5.5
02/22 Away Okla City -7.0 W by 14 +7.0
02/24 Home Toronto -1.5 W by 8 +6.5
02/26 Home Utah +6.5 W by 8 +14.5
02/28 Home Atlanta -2.5 W by 10 +7.5
03/02 Home Atlanta -2.0 L by 14 -16.0
03/04 Away New Orleans -1.5 W by 10 +8.5
03/11 Home Orlando -8.5 W by 8 -0.5
03/12 Away Chicago -2.0 W by 11 +9.0
03/14 Away Orlando -7.5 W by 5 -2.5
03/16 Home Cleveland -11.0 W by 15 +4.0
03/17 Away Memphis +1.0 L by 4 -3.0
03/19 Home Indiana -4.0 L by 27 -31.0
03/21 Home Indiana -3.5 L by 3 -6.5
03/23 Home Phoenix +2.0 L by 10 -8.0
03/25 Home Portland +2.5 L by 3 -0.5
03/26 Away Charlotte -1.5 L by 5 -6.5
03/29 Away New York -3.5 W by 10 +6.5
03/31 Away Indiana -1.5 W by 5 +3.5
04/01 Home Golden State -3.0 W by 7 +4.0
04/03 Home Cleveland -12.0 W by 14 +2.0
04/06 Home Memphis -6.5 L by 12 -18.5
04/08 Home LA Lakers -9.5 W by 6 -3.5
04/11 Away Portland +1.0 W by 9 +10.0
04/13 Away Phoenix +3.5 L by 20 -16.5
04/14 Away Denver +5.0 L by 17 -12.0
04/16 Away Minnesota -7.0 L by 8 -15.0
04/18 Home Brooklyn +5.0 W by 2 +7.0
04/19 Home Houston -5.0 W by 22 +17.0
04/21 Away San Antonio -1.5 W by 20 +18.5
04/23 Away Atlanta -6.5 L by 15 -21.5
04/24 Home Chicago -4.5 W by 5 +0.5
04/26 Home Chicago -5.5 L by 8 -13.5
04/28 Home San Antonio -5.0 W by 5 0.0
05/01 Away Cleveland -11.0 W by 17 +6.0
05/02 Away Charlotte -5.5 W by 10 +4.5
05/04 Home Dallas +1.0 L by 14 -13.0
MIA -2.5 Open -6.0 High -6.0
Last -2.0 Low -2.0

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2015-2016 NBA season there have been 996 games where the closing line favored the home team by 1.5 to 3.5 points. In these games:

  • The team like Miami won the game 545 times (54.7%).
  • The team like Atlanta won the game 451 times (45.3%).
  • The team like Miami did better against the spread, going 505-483-8 (51.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.9 points.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2017-2018 NBA season there have been 5 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 4 points less than the opening line.

In these games, the team like Miami did better against the spread, going 3-2 (60.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -2.5 -3.0 -2.5
Open -6.0 -6.0 -6.5
History
02/28 08:15 PM -- -3.0 --
02/28 08:08 PM -- -- -2.5
02/28 08:08 PM -2.5 -- --
02/28 07:59 PM -2.5 -- --
02/28 07:58 PM -- -- -2.5
02/28 07:48 PM -- -- -2.5
02/28 07:47 PM -2.5 -- --
02/28 07:45 PM -- -2.5 --
02/28 07:38 PM -2.5 -- --
02/28 07:35 PM -- -2.5 --
02/28 07:29 PM -2.5 -- --
02/28 07:28 PM -- -- -2.5
02/28 07:15 PM -- -2.0 --
02/28 07:11 PM -2.5 -- --
02/28 07:08 PM -- -- -2.5
02/28 07:08 PM -2.5 -- --
02/28 06:59 PM -2.5 -- --
02/28 06:58 PM -- -- -2.5
02/28 06:55 PM -- -2.0 --
02/28 06:48 PM -- -- -2.0
02/28 06:47 PM -2.0 -- --
02/28 06:38 PM -- -- -2.0
02/28 06:38 PM -2.5 -- --
02/28 06:35 PM -- -2.0 --
02/28 06:29 PM -2.5 -- --
02/28 06:28 PM -- -- -2.0
02/28 06:25 PM -- -2.0 --
02/28 06:11 PM -3.5 -- --
02/28 06:08 PM -- -- -3.5
02/28 06:08 PM -3.5 -- --
02/28 05:56 PM -3.5 -- --
02/28 05:47 PM -3.5 -- --
02/28 05:26 PM -3.5 -- --
02/28 05:13 PM -3.5 -- --
02/28 05:05 PM -- -3.5 --
02/28 05:05 PM -3.5 -- --
02/28 04:35 PM -3.5 -- --
02/28 04:29 PM -3.5 -- --
02/28 04:17 PM -3.5 -- --
02/28 04:08 PM -- -- -3.5
02/28 04:08 PM -3.5 -- --
02/28 04:05 PM -- -3.5 --
02/28 03:50 PM -3.5 -- --
02/28 03:48 PM -- -- -3.5
02/28 03:47 PM -3.5 -- --
02/28 03:35 PM -3.5 -- --
02/28 03:28 PM -- -- -3.5
02/28 03:26 PM -3.5 -- --
02/28 03:25 PM -- -3.5 --
02/28 02:28 PM -- -- -3.5
02/28 01:35 PM -- -4.5 --
02/28 01:32 PM -4.5 -- --
02/28 01:28 PM -- -- -4.5
02/28 01:26 PM -4.5 -- --
02/28 01:18 PM -- -- -4.5
02/28 01:17 PM -4.5 -- --
02/28 01:15 PM -- -4.5 --
02/28 01:08 PM -- -- -4.5
02/28 01:08 PM -4.5 -- --
02/28 12:59 PM -6.0 -- --
02/28 12:23 PM -6.0 -- --
02/28 12:11 PM -6.0 -- --
02/28 12:02 PM -6.0 -- --
02/28 11:50 AM -6.0 -- --
02/28 11:47 AM -6.0 -- --
02/28 11:29 AM -6.0 -- --
02/28 11:18 AM -- -- -6.0
02/28 11:16 AM -6.0 -- --
02/28 11:08 AM -6.0 -- --
02/28 10:59 AM -6.0 -- --
02/28 10:41 AM -6.0 -- --
02/28 10:38 AM -- -- -6.5
02/28 10:38 AM -6.0 -- --
02/28 10:28 AM -- -- -6.5
02/28 10:25 AM -6.0 -- --
02/28 10:08 AM -- -- -6.5
02/28 10:08 AM -6.0 -- --
02/28 09:48 AM -- -- -6.5
02/28 09:35 AM -- -6.0 --
02/28 09:28 AM -- -- -6.5
02/28 09:25 AM -- -6.0 --
02/28 09:18 AM -- -- -6.5
02/28 08:48 AM -- -- -6.5
02/28 08:28 AM -- -- -6.0
02/28 07:28 AM -- -- -6.5