ATS Situational Trends

Record ATL adv MIA
Season 27-46-0 34-37-1
vs Division 4-10-0 8-6-0
vs Conference 14-32-0 22-22-1
Streak W4 L1
Last 5 4-1-0 2-3-0
Last 10 5-5-0 4-6-0
Home 15-22-0 13-22-0
Away 12-24-0 21-15-1

Atlanta Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
10/25 Away Charlotte -4.0 L by 6 -10.0
10/27 Home New York +1.0 L by 6 -5.0
10/29 Away Milwaukee +6.0 W by 17 +23.0
10/30 Home Minnesota +2.5 W by 14 +16.5
11/01 Home Washington -9.5 W by 9 -0.5
11/04 Away New Orleans +2.0 W by 18 +20.0
11/06 Away Okla City +1.0 L by 9 -8.0
11/09 Neutral Orlando -3.5 W by 1 -2.5
11/11 Home Miami -7.5 L by 8 -15.5
11/14 Away Detroit -4.5 W by 6 +1.5
11/15 Home New York -1.0 L by 2 -3.0
11/17 Home Philadelphia +1.5 L by 10 -8.5
11/21 Home Indiana -3.5 L by 5 -8.5
11/22 Home Brooklyn -3.5 W by 2 -1.5
11/25 Away Washington -8.5 W by 28 +19.5
11/26 Away Boston +7.0 L by 10 -3.0
11/28 Away Cleveland +4.5 L by 23 -18.5
11/30 Away San Antonio -6.0 W by 2 -4.0
12/02 Away Milwaukee +6.0 L by 11 -5.0
12/06 Home Brooklyn -3.5 L by 1 -4.5
12/08 Away Philadelphia +8.5 L by 11 -2.5
12/11 Home Denver +3.5 L by 7 -3.5
12/13 Away Toronto +2.5 L by 7 -4.5
12/15 Away Toronto +1.5 W by 21 +22.5
12/16 Away Cleveland +4.5 L by 8 -3.5
12/18 Home Detroit -11.5 W by 6 -5.5
12/20 Away Houston +3.0 W by 7 +10.0
12/22 Away Miami +1.0 L by 9 -8.0
12/23 Home Memphis -2.0 L by 6 -8.0
12/26 Away Chicago -2.5 L by 5 -7.5
12/29 Home Sacramento +1.0 L by 7 -6.0
12/31 Away Washington -6.5 W by 4 -2.5
01/03 Home Okla City -1.0 W by 3 +2.0
01/05 Away Indiana +3.0 L by 34 -31.0
01/07 Away Orlando -2.0 L by 7 -9.0
01/10 Home Philadelphia -1.0 W by 7 +6.0
01/12 Home Indiana -6.0 L by 18 -24.0
01/13 Home Washington -8.0 L by 28 -36.0
01/15 Home San Antonio -8.5 W by 10 +1.5
01/17 Home Orlando -4.5 W by 2 -2.5
01/19 Away Miami +7.0 W by 1 +8.0
01/20 Home Cleveland +2.0 L by 21 -19.0
01/22 Away Sacramento +8.5 L by 15 -6.5
01/24 Away Golden State +6.0 L by 22 -16.0
01/26 Home Dallas -2.0 L by 5 -7.0
01/28 Home Toronto -6.0 W by 1 -5.0
01/30 Home LA Lakers -6.0 W by 16 +10.0
02/02 Home Phoenix +3.0 W by 9 +12.0
02/03 Home Golden State -2.5 W by 7 +4.5
02/05 Home LA Clippers +4.0 L by 5 -1.0
02/07 Away Boston +11.5 L by 8 +3.5
02/09 Away Philadelphia -3.5 W by 6 +2.5
02/10 Home Houston -7.0 W by 9 +2.0
02/12 Home Chicago -5.0 L by 10 -15.0
02/14 Away Charlotte -7.0 L by 23 -30.0
02/23 Home Toronto -7.0 L by 2 -9.0
02/25 Home Orlando -2.0 W by 17 +15.0
02/27 Home Utah -2.0 W by 27 +25.0
02/29 Away Brooklyn +1.0 L by 27 -26.0
03/02 Away Brooklyn -1.0 L by 12 -13.0
03/05 Away New York +1.5 W by 16 +17.5
03/06 Home Cleveland -3.0 W by 11 +8.0
03/08 Away Memphis -3.5 W by 7 +3.5
03/10 Home New Orleans +6.5 L by 13 -6.5
03/13 Away Portland -4.5 L by 4 -8.5
03/15 Away Utah -1.0 L by 2 -3.0
03/17 Away LA Clippers +9.5 W by 17 +26.5
03/18 Away LA Lakers +9.0 L by 31 -22.0
03/21 Away Phoenix +9.0 L by 13 -4.0
03/23 Home Charlotte -7.5 W by 41 +33.5
03/25 Home Boston +10.5 W by 2 +12.5
03/27 Home Portland -11.5 W by 14 +2.5
03/28 Home Boston +16.0 W by 1 +17.0

Miami Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
10/25 Home Detroit -9.5 W by 1 -8.5
10/27 Away Boston +8.5 L by 8 +0.5
10/28 Away Minnesota +8.5 L by 16 -7.5
10/30 Away Milwaukee +7.5 L by 8 -0.5
11/01 Home Brooklyn -7.0 L by 4 -11.0
11/03 Home Washington -8.5 W by 7 -1.5
11/06 Home LA Lakers -1.5 W by 1 -0.5
11/08 Away Memphis -1.5 W by 6 +4.5
11/11 Away Atlanta +7.5 W by 8 +15.5
11/12 Away San Antonio -2.0 W by 5 +3.0
11/14 Away Charlotte -6.5 W by 6 -0.5
11/16 Home Brooklyn -3.5 W by 7 +3.5
11/18 Away Chicago -1.5 L by 5 -6.5
11/20 Away Chicago -1.5 W by 18 +16.5
11/22 Away Cleveland +1.5 W by 33 +34.5
11/24 Away New York +5.5 L by 2 +3.5
11/25 Away Brooklyn +7.5 L by 15 -7.5
11/28 Home Milwaukee +4.0 L by 7 -3.0
11/30 Home Indiana -4.0 W by 10 +6.0
12/02 Home Indiana -4.5 L by 15 -19.5
12/06 Away Toronto +4.0 W by 9 +13.0
12/08 Home Cleveland +1.5 L by 12 -10.5
12/11 Away Charlotte -4.5 W by 2 -2.5
12/13 Home Charlotte -7.5 W by 11 +3.5
12/14 Home Chicago -3.5 L by 8 -11.5
12/16 Home Chicago -4.5 W by 2 -2.5
12/18 Home Minnesota +1.5 L by 4 -2.5
12/20 Away Orlando +5.5 W by 9 +14.5
12/22 Home Atlanta -1.0 W by 9 +8.0
12/25 Home Philadelphia -2.0 W by 6 +4.0
12/28 Away Golden State +6.5 W by 12 +18.5
12/30 Away Utah -3.0 L by 8 -11.0
01/01 Away LA Clippers +8.0 L by 17 -9.0
01/03 Away LA Lakers +5.0 W by 14 +19.0
01/05 Away Phoenix +2.5 L by 16 -13.5
01/08 Home Houston -4.0 W by 7 +3.0
01/10 Home Okla City +4.5 L by 8 -3.5
01/12 Home Orlando -1.0 W by 3 +2.0
01/14 Home Charlotte -8.5 W by 17 +8.5
01/15 Away Brooklyn -1.0 W by 1 0.0
01/17 Away Toronto -3.0 L by 24 -27.0
01/19 Home Atlanta -7.0 L by 1 -8.0
01/21 Away Orlando +1.0 L by 18 -17.0
01/24 Home Memphis -11.5 L by 9 -20.5
01/25 Home Boston +8.5 L by 33 -24.5
01/27 Away New York +4.5 L by 16 -11.5
01/29 Home Phoenix -2.0 L by 13 -15.0
01/31 Home Sacramento -2.5 W by 9 +6.5
02/02 Away Washington -7.5 W by 8 +0.5
02/04 Home LA Clippers +5.0 L by 8 -3.0
02/06 Home Orlando -3.5 W by 26 +22.5
02/07 Home San Antonio -8.0 W by 12 +4.0
02/11 Home Boston +8.0 L by 4 +4.0
02/13 Away Milwaukee +7.0 W by 26 +33.0
02/14 Away Philadelphia +2.5 W by 5 +7.5
02/23 Away New Orleans +2.0 W by 11 +13.0
02/26 Away Sacramento +7.5 W by 11 +18.5
02/27 Away Portland -6.5 W by 10 +3.5
02/29 Away Denver +6.5 L by 6 +0.5
03/02 Home Utah -9.0 W by 6 -3.0
03/05 Home Detroit -11.0 W by 8 -3.0
03/07 Away Dallas +4.5 L by 6 -1.5
03/08 Away Okla City +8.5 L by 7 +1.5
03/10 Home Washington -11.5 L by 2 -13.5
03/13 Home Denver +3.5 L by 12 -8.5
03/15 Away Detroit -7.5 W by 13 +5.5
03/17 Away Detroit -5.5 W by 3 -2.5
03/18 Away Philadelphia +3.0 L by 7 -4.0
03/20 Away Cleveland +3.0 W by 3 +6.0
03/22 Home New Orleans -3.0 L by 23 -26.0
03/24 Home Cleveland -3.5 W by 37 +33.5
03/26 Home Golden State +5.0 L by 21 -16.0
MIA -2.5 Open -4.5 High -6.5
Last -2.0 Low -2.0

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2015-2016 NBA season there have been 996 games where the closing line favored the home team by 1.5 to 3.5 points. In these games:

  • The team like Miami won the game 545 times (54.7%).
  • The team like Atlanta won the game 451 times (45.3%).
  • The team like Miami did better against the spread, going 505-483-8 (51.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.9 points.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2017-2018 NBA season there have been 5 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 4 points less than the opening line.

In these games, the team like Miami did better against the spread, going 3-2 (60.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -2.5 -2.5 -2.5
Open -6.0 -6.0 -6.0
History
02/28 08:08 PM -2.5 -- --
02/28 07:56 PM -2.5 -- --
02/28 07:47 PM -2.5 -- --
02/28 07:34 PM -- -2.5 --
02/28 07:26 PM -2.5 -- --
02/28 07:25 PM -- -- -2.5
02/28 07:24 PM -- -2.0 --
02/28 07:15 PM -- -- -2.5
02/28 07:14 PM -- -2.5 --
02/28 07:11 PM -2.5 -- --
02/28 07:08 PM -2.5 -- --
02/28 07:05 PM -- -- -2.5
02/28 06:59 PM -2.5 -- --
02/28 06:55 PM -- -- -2.0
02/28 06:47 PM -2.0 -- --
02/28 06:44 PM -- -2.0 --
02/28 06:35 PM -2.5 -- --
02/28 06:35 PM -- -- -2.0
02/28 06:34 PM -- -2.5 --
02/28 06:29 PM -2.5 -- --
02/28 06:25 PM -- -- -2.5
02/28 06:05 PM -3.5 -- --
02/28 05:23 PM -3.5 -- --
02/28 05:13 PM -3.5 -- --
02/28 05:05 PM -3.5 -- --
02/28 04:17 PM -3.5 -- --
02/28 04:08 PM -3.5 -- --
02/28 03:41 PM -3.5 -- --
02/28 03:26 PM -3.5 -- --
02/28 03:25 PM -- -- -3.5
02/28 03:24 PM -- -3.5 --
02/28 01:32 PM -4.5 -- --
02/28 01:24 PM -- -4.5 --
02/28 01:20 PM -4.5 -- --
02/28 01:15 PM -- -- -4.5
02/28 01:14 PM -4.5 -- --
02/28 01:14 PM -- -5.5 --
02/28 01:08 PM -4.5 -- --
02/28 12:59 PM -6.0 -- --
02/28 12:23 PM -6.0 -- --
02/28 12:11 PM -6.0 -- --
02/28 12:02 PM -6.0 -- --
02/28 11:47 AM -6.0 -- --
02/28 11:16 AM -6.0 -- --
02/28 11:08 AM -6.0 -- --
02/28 10:59 AM -6.0 -- --
02/28 10:38 AM -6.0 -- --
02/28 10:08 AM -6.0 -- --
02/28 09:44 AM -- -6.0 --
02/28 09:35 AM -- -- -6.0