NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ATL CHA
Points 120.5 113.5
Total Points   234.0
Points From 2-Pointers 58.4 59.0
Points From 3-Pointers 43.8 39.9
Points From Free Throws 18.3 14.6
Shooting ATL CHA
Field Goals Made 43.8 42.8
Field Goals Attempted 90.0 88.2
Field Goal % 48.7% 48.5%
2 Pointers Made 29.2 29.5
2 Pointers Attempted 51.2 53.0
2 Point Shooting % 57.0% 55.7%
3 Pointers Made 14.6 13.3
3 Pointers Attempted 38.8 35.2
3 Point Shooting % 37.7% 37.7%
Free Throws Made 18.3 14.6
Free Throws Attempted 22.9 18.7
Free Throw % 79.7% 78.3%
Ball Control ATL CHA
Rebounds 50.6 45.1
Rebounds - Defensive 36.8 34.6
Rebounds - Offensive 13.8 10.5
Turnovers 12.0 13.1
Blocked Shots 4.5 4.6
Steals 6.5 6.2
Fouls 15.5 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ATL CHA
Total Possessions 101.8
Effective Scoring Chances 103.6 99.2
% of Possessions with ATL CHA
2 Point Attempt 43.6% 46.5%
3 Point Attempt 33.1% 30.9%
Player Fouled 16.3% 15.2%
Turnover 11.8% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken ATL CHA
Shot Blocked 5.3% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 28.5% 22.2%