NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ATL LAL
Points 119.0 125.5
Total Points   244.5
Points From 2-Pointers 58.8 67.4
Points From 3-Pointers 44.8 38.9
Points From Free Throws 15.4 19.3
Shooting ATL LAL
Field Goals Made 44.3 46.6
Field Goals Attempted 95.9 86.5
Field Goal % 46.2% 53.9%
2 Pointers Made 29.4 33.7
2 Pointers Attempted 56.4 54.6
2 Point Shooting % 52.1% 61.7%
3 Pointers Made 14.9 13.0
3 Pointers Attempted 39.5 31.9
3 Point Shooting % 37.8% 40.6%
Free Throws Made 15.4 19.3
Free Throws Attempted 19.7 24.8
Free Throw % 78.3% 77.6%
Ball Control ATL LAL
Rebounds 48.0 48.1
Rebounds - Defensive 34.1 39.5
Rebounds - Offensive 13.9 8.7
Turnovers 11.8 13.0
Blocked Shots 4.2 5.4
Steals 7.3 6.6
Fouls 18.3 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ATL LAL
Total Possessions 105.2
Effective Scoring Chances 107.3 100.9
% of Possessions with ATL LAL
2 Point Attempt 46.5% 47.2%
3 Point Attempt 32.6% 27.6%
Player Fouled 13.5% 17.3%
Turnover 11.2% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken ATL LAL
Shot Blocked 6.3% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 26.0% 20.3%