NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ATL ORL
Points 110.5 117.2
Total Points   227.7
Points From 2-Pointers 55.3 61.8
Points From 3-Pointers 36.3 36.3
Points From Free Throws 19.0 19.1
Shooting ATL ORL
Field Goals Made 39.7 43.0
Field Goals Attempted 85.9 84.7
Field Goal % 46.2% 50.8%
2 Pointers Made 27.6 30.9
2 Pointers Attempted 52.3 52.7
2 Point Shooting % 52.9% 58.7%
3 Pointers Made 12.1 12.1
3 Pointers Attempted 33.6 32.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.9% 37.8%
Free Throws Made 19.0 19.1
Free Throws Attempted 24.2 25.2
Free Throw % 78.3% 75.9%
Ball Control ATL ORL
Rebounds 45.0 48.5
Rebounds - Defensive 33.5 37.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 11.5
Turnovers 13.7 13.7
Blocked Shots 3.9 5.4
Steals 7.3 7.7
Fouls 19.0 18.4

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ATL ORL
Total Possessions 102.1
Effective Scoring Chances 100.0 99.8
% of Possessions with ATL ORL
2 Point Attempt 45.1% 45.8%
3 Point Attempt 29.0% 27.8%
Player Fouled 18.0% 18.6%
Turnover 13.4% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken ATL ORL
Shot Blocked 6.5% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 23.8% 25.5%