NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ATL IND
Points 121.2 130.5
Total Points   251.7
Points From 2-Pointers 66.0 72.3
Points From 3-Pointers 32.8 41.2
Points From Free Throws 22.4 16.9
Shooting ATL IND
Field Goals Made 44.0 49.9
Field Goals Attempted 91.3 92.0
Field Goal % 48.1% 54.2%
2 Pointers Made 33.0 36.2
2 Pointers Attempted 60.8 57.1
2 Point Shooting % 54.3% 63.4%
3 Pointers Made 10.9 13.7
3 Pointers Attempted 30.5 35.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.8% 39.3%
Free Throws Made 22.4 16.9
Free Throws Attempted 28.6 21.7
Free Throw % 78.3% 78.0%
Ball Control ATL IND
Rebounds 48.2 46.6
Rebounds - Defensive 33.8 35.9
Rebounds - Offensive 14.4 10.7
Turnovers 12.3 11.8
Blocked Shots 4.4 6.4
Steals 5.9 7.0
Fouls 17.1 19.8

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ATL IND
Total Possessions 105.7
Effective Scoring Chances 107.8 104.6
% of Possessions with ATL IND
2 Point Attempt 49.6% 48.3%
3 Point Attempt 24.9% 29.6%
Player Fouled 18.7% 16.2%
Turnover 11.7% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken ATL IND
Shot Blocked 7.1% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 28.6% 24.0%