NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ATL NO
Points 113.4 122.3
Total Points   235.6
Points From 2-Pointers 53.0 64.5
Points From 3-Pointers 42.8 39.9
Points From Free Throws 17.6 17.9
Shooting ATL NO
Field Goals Made 40.8 45.5
Field Goals Attempted 89.1 87.8
Field Goal % 45.8% 51.9%
2 Pointers Made 26.5 32.2
2 Pointers Attempted 48.6 54.4
2 Point Shooting % 54.6% 59.2%
3 Pointers Made 14.3 13.3
3 Pointers Attempted 40.5 33.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 39.9%
Free Throws Made 17.6 17.9
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 23.1
Free Throw % 78.3% 77.4%
Ball Control ATL NO
Rebounds 46.4 49.0
Rebounds - Defensive 33.8 37.9
Rebounds - Offensive 12.6 11.1
Turnovers 12.7 12.1
Blocked Shots 4.4 5.0
Steals 5.9 7.6
Fouls 16.6 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ATL NO
Total Possessions 102.3
Effective Scoring Chances 102.2 101.3
% of Possessions with ATL NO
2 Point Attempt 41.6% 47.2%
3 Point Attempt 34.6% 29.0%
Player Fouled 16.6% 16.3%
Turnover 12.4% 11.8%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken ATL NO
Shot Blocked 5.7% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 25.0% 24.7%