NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ATL TOR
Points 124.3 120.2
Total Points   244.4
Points From 2-Pointers 63.5 65.5
Points From 3-Pointers 43.4 37.4
Points From Free Throws 17.4 17.3
Shooting ATL TOR
Field Goals Made 46.2 45.2
Field Goals Attempted 93.5 90.0
Field Goal % 49.4% 50.2%
2 Pointers Made 31.7 32.7
2 Pointers Attempted 54.9 56.1
2 Point Shooting % 57.8% 58.4%
3 Pointers Made 14.5 12.5
3 Pointers Attempted 38.6 34.0
3 Point Shooting % 37.5% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 17.4 17.3
Free Throws Attempted 22.2 22.5
Free Throw % 78.3% 76.6%
Ball Control ATL TOR
Rebounds 50.5 46.4
Rebounds - Defensive 35.8 34.9
Rebounds - Offensive 14.7 11.5
Turnovers 12.5 13.1
Blocked Shots 5.3 4.9
Steals 6.5 7.2
Fouls 16.5 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Toronto

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ATL TOR
Total Possessions 104.6
Effective Scoring Chances 106.8 103.0
% of Possessions with ATL TOR
2 Point Attempt 45.3% 47.4%
3 Point Attempt 31.9% 28.7%
Player Fouled 16.4% 15.8%
Turnover 11.9% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken ATL TOR
Shot Blocked 5.5% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 29.6% 24.3%