NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ATL SA
Points 120.1 119.4
Total Points   239.5
Points From 2-Pointers 62.0 62.4
Points From 3-Pointers 39.8 40.9
Points From Free Throws 18.3 16.1
Shooting ATL SA
Field Goals Made 44.3 44.8
Field Goals Attempted 94.5 90.5
Field Goal % 46.8% 49.6%
2 Pointers Made 31.0 31.2
2 Pointers Attempted 59.3 54.2
2 Point Shooting % 52.3% 57.5%
3 Pointers Made 13.3 13.6
3 Pointers Attempted 35.2 36.2
3 Point Shooting % 37.6% 37.6%
Free Throws Made 18.3 16.1
Free Throws Attempted 23.0 20.8
Free Throw % 79.7% 77.7%
Ball Control ATL SA
Rebounds 50.0 49.9
Rebounds - Defensive 36.2 38.2
Rebounds - Offensive 13.9 11.7
Turnovers 11.7 14.0
Blocked Shots 4.4 6.8
Steals 8.1 6.6
Fouls 16.0 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: San Antonio

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ATL SA
Total Possessions 105.2
Effective Scoring Chances 107.3 102.9
% of Possessions with ATL SA
2 Point Attempt 48.7% 45.7%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 30.5%
Player Fouled 15.1% 15.2%
Turnover 11.1% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken ATL SA
Shot Blocked 7.6% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 26.6% 24.4%