NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ATL PHO
Points 114.4 123.7
Total Points   238.1
Points From 2-Pointers 55.0 63.7
Points From 3-Pointers 41.9 40.9
Points From Free Throws 17.6 19.1
Shooting ATL PHO
Field Goals Made 41.4 45.5
Field Goals Attempted 93.6 86.2
Field Goal % 44.3% 52.8%
2 Pointers Made 27.5 31.8
2 Pointers Attempted 55.2 52.7
2 Point Shooting % 49.8% 60.5%
3 Pointers Made 14.0 13.6
3 Pointers Attempted 38.4 33.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.3% 40.7%
Free Throws Made 17.6 19.1
Free Throws Attempted 22.5 23.6
Free Throw % 78.3% 80.7%
Ball Control ATL PHO
Rebounds 46.4 50.8
Rebounds - Defensive 32.1 39.9
Rebounds - Offensive 14.3 10.9
Turnovers 11.3 14.0
Blocked Shots 4.0 6.0
Steals 7.5 6.8
Fouls 17.7 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ATL PHO
Total Possessions 103.4
Effective Scoring Chances 106.4 100.3
% of Possessions with ATL PHO
2 Point Attempt 46.0% 45.4%
3 Point Attempt 32.0% 28.9%
Player Fouled 15.9% 17.2%
Turnover 10.9% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken ATL PHO
Shot Blocked 7.1% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 26.4% 25.3%