NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ATL OKC
Points 114.6 128.3
Total Points   242.9
Points From 2-Pointers 51.5 66.6
Points From 3-Pointers 43.4 43.2
Points From Free Throws 19.7 18.5
Shooting ATL OKC
Field Goals Made 40.2 47.7
Field Goals Attempted 91.6 89.3
Field Goal % 43.9% 53.4%
2 Pointers Made 25.8 33.3
2 Pointers Attempted 52.3 54.3
2 Point Shooting % 49.3% 61.3%
3 Pointers Made 14.5 14.4
3 Pointers Attempted 39.3 35.0
3 Point Shooting % 36.8% 41.2%
Free Throws Made 19.7 18.5
Free Throws Attempted 25.2 22.5
Free Throw % 78.3% 82.2%
Ball Control ATL OKC
Rebounds 49.1 47.9
Rebounds - Defensive 34.0 38.5
Rebounds - Offensive 15.1 9.5
Turnovers 13.8 12.1
Blocked Shots 4.4 7.1
Steals 6.5 7.7
Fouls 17.6 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ATL OKC
Total Possessions 104.8
Effective Scoring Chances 106.1 102.2
% of Possessions with ATL OKC
2 Point Attempt 42.6% 46.8%
3 Point Attempt 32.0% 30.2%
Player Fouled 16.4% 16.8%
Turnover 13.2% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken ATL OKC
Shot Blocked 8.1% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 28.2% 21.7%