NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ATL OKC
Points 114.0 128.1
Total Points   242.1
Points From 2-Pointers 51.6 66.8
Points From 3-Pointers 42.9 43.0
Points From Free Throws 19.4 18.3
Shooting ATL OKC
Field Goals Made 40.1 47.7
Field Goals Attempted 91.5 89.1
Field Goal % 43.8% 53.6%
2 Pointers Made 25.8 33.4
2 Pointers Attempted 52.3 54.4
2 Point Shooting % 49.3% 61.4%
3 Pointers Made 14.3 14.3
3 Pointers Attempted 39.2 34.7
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 41.3%
Free Throws Made 19.4 18.3
Free Throws Attempted 24.8 22.3
Free Throw % 78.3% 82.2%
Ball Control ATL OKC
Rebounds 49.0 47.8
Rebounds - Defensive 33.9 38.4
Rebounds - Offensive 15.2 9.4
Turnovers 13.8 12.0
Blocked Shots 4.3 7.0
Steals 6.4 7.6
Fouls 17.6 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ATL OKC
Total Possessions 104.5
Effective Scoring Chances 105.9 101.9
% of Possessions with ATL OKC
2 Point Attempt 42.7% 47.1%
3 Point Attempt 32.0% 30.0%
Player Fouled 16.3% 16.9%
Turnover 13.2% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken ATL OKC
Shot Blocked 8.0% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 28.3% 21.7%