NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ATL OKC
Points 114.5 128.0
Total Points   242.5
Points From 2-Pointers 51.7 66.7
Points From 3-Pointers 43.3 43.0
Points From Free Throws 19.5 18.3
Shooting ATL OKC
Field Goals Made 40.3 47.7
Field Goals Attempted 91.9 89.3
Field Goal % 43.9% 53.4%
2 Pointers Made 25.8 33.4
2 Pointers Attempted 52.5 54.4
2 Point Shooting % 49.3% 61.3%
3 Pointers Made 14.4 14.3
3 Pointers Attempted 39.4 34.8
3 Point Shooting % 36.7% 41.1%
Free Throws Made 19.5 18.3
Free Throws Attempted 24.8 22.3
Free Throw % 78.3% 82.1%
Ball Control ATL OKC
Rebounds 49.3 47.9
Rebounds - Defensive 34.0 38.5
Rebounds - Offensive 15.3 9.4
Turnovers 13.8 12.1
Blocked Shots 4.4 7.1
Steals 6.5 7.7
Fouls 17.5 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ATL OKC
Total Possessions 104.7
Effective Scoring Chances 106.2 102.1
% of Possessions with ATL OKC
2 Point Attempt 42.7% 47.0%
3 Point Attempt 32.1% 30.0%
Player Fouled 16.3% 16.8%
Turnover 13.1% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken ATL OKC
Shot Blocked 8.0% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 28.4% 21.7%