NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ATL MIN
Points 108.9 120.7
Total Points   229.6
Points From 2-Pointers 52.3 60.4
Points From 3-Pointers 37.3 41.7
Points From Free Throws 19.3 18.5
Shooting ATL MIN
Field Goals Made 38.6 44.1
Field Goals Attempted 89.2 85.2
Field Goal % 43.3% 51.8%
2 Pointers Made 26.2 30.2
2 Pointers Attempted 54.9 51.4
2 Point Shooting % 47.7% 58.7%
3 Pointers Made 12.4 13.9
3 Pointers Attempted 34.3 33.8
3 Point Shooting % 36.2% 41.2%
Free Throws Made 19.3 18.5
Free Throws Attempted 24.6 24.0
Free Throw % 78.3% 77.2%
Ball Control ATL MIN
Rebounds 47.3 49.6
Rebounds - Defensive 33.7 39.3
Rebounds - Offensive 13.6 10.3
Turnovers 12.8 13.3
Blocked Shots 3.8 6.4
Steals 6.9 7.3
Fouls 18.6 17.5

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ATL MIN
Total Possessions 102.5
Effective Scoring Chances 103.3 99.5
% of Possessions with ATL MIN
2 Point Attempt 46.3% 45.0%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 29.6%
Player Fouled 17.1% 18.1%
Turnover 12.4% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken ATL MIN
Shot Blocked 7.6% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 25.7% 23.3%