NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ATL POR
Points 119.9 115.1
Total Points   235.0
Points From 2-Pointers 62.6 61.1
Points From 3-Pointers 36.8 37.1
Points From Free Throws 20.5 16.9
Shooting ATL POR
Field Goals Made 43.6 42.9
Field Goals Attempted 88.4 90.4
Field Goal % 49.3% 47.5%
2 Pointers Made 31.3 30.5
2 Pointers Attempted 53.3 56.8
2 Point Shooting % 58.8% 53.8%
3 Pointers Made 12.3 12.4
3 Pointers Attempted 35.1 33.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 36.9%
Free Throws Made 20.5 16.9
Free Throws Attempted 26.2 21.3
Free Throw % 78.3% 79.4%
Ball Control ATL POR
Rebounds 48.8 48.2
Rebounds - Defensive 35.4 34.2
Rebounds - Offensive 13.4 14.0
Turnovers 12.5 13.9
Blocked Shots 5.3 4.7
Steals 7.8 6.9
Fouls 16.1 18.7

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ATL POR
Total Possessions 103.0
Effective Scoring Chances 103.9 103.1
% of Possessions with ATL POR
2 Point Attempt 45.0% 47.7%
3 Point Attempt 29.7% 28.2%
Player Fouled 18.1% 15.6%
Turnover 12.1% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken ATL POR
Shot Blocked 5.3% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 28.2% 28.4%