NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ATL WAS
Points 125.1 121.5
Total Points   246.6
Points From 2-Pointers 67.1 64.7
Points From 3-Pointers 37.3 40.6
Points From Free Throws 20.7 16.2
Shooting ATL WAS
Field Goals Made 46.0 45.9
Field Goals Attempted 93.6 91.1
Field Goal % 49.2% 50.3%
2 Pointers Made 33.5 32.4
2 Pointers Attempted 58.6 54.7
2 Point Shooting % 57.2% 59.2%
3 Pointers Made 12.4 13.5
3 Pointers Attempted 34.9 36.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 37.1%
Free Throws Made 20.7 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 26.4 21.1
Free Throw % 78.3% 76.8%
Ball Control ATL WAS
Rebounds 52.7 45.2
Rebounds - Defensive 37.8 35.5
Rebounds - Offensive 14.9 9.7
Turnovers 12.2 13.1
Blocked Shots 5.4 5.2
Steals 7.2 6.8
Fouls 16.6 18.5

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ATL WAS
Total Possessions 106.4
Effective Scoring Chances 109.1 103.0
% of Possessions with ATL WAS
2 Point Attempt 47.5% 46.2%
3 Point Attempt 28.3% 30.8%
Player Fouled 17.4% 15.6%
Turnover 11.4% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken ATL WAS
Shot Blocked 5.8% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 29.6% 20.4%