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Miami at Milwaukee
Thu Jan 23, 2025
8:30pm ET
Milwaukee, WI
Miami at Milwaukee: Over/Under Analysis
Odds: Milwaukee by 6, Total Points: 224
Over/Under Situational Trends
| Record | MIA | MIL |
|---|---|---|
| Season | 28-28-0 | 21-32-0 |
| vs Division | 4-5-0 | 3-8-0 |
| vs Conference | 13-18-0 | 13-22-0 |
| Streak | Ov 1 | Un 1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 4-6-0 |
| Home | 14-13-0 | 12-12-0 |
| Away | 14-15-0 | 9-20-0 |
Records denote overs-unders-pushes
Miami Detailed Over/Under Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Total | Score | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/22 | Away | Orlando | 216.0 | 121-125 | Over | +30.0 |
| 10/24 | Away | Memphis | 232.5 | 146-114 | Over | +27.5 |
| 10/26 | Home | New York | 230.5 | 115-107 | Under | -8.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Charlotte | 241.5 | 144-117 | Over | +19.5 |
| 10/30 | Away | San Antonio | 228.5 | 101-107 | Under | -20.5 |
| 11/02 | Away | LA Lakers | 232.5 | 120-130 | Over | +17.5 |
| 11/03 | Away | LA Clippers | 227.5 | 120-119 | Over | +11.5 |
| 11/05 | Away | Denver | 242.5 | 112-122 | Under | -8.5 |
| 11/07 | Home | Charlotte | 235.5 | 126-108 | Under | -1.5 |
| 11/08 | Home | Portland | 241.5 | 136-131 | Over | +25.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Cleveland | 248.5 | 140-138 | Over | +29.5 |
| 11/12 | Home | Cleveland | 238.5 | 116-130 | Over | +7.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | New York | 240.5 | 132-140 | Over | +31.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | New York | 244.5 | 115-113 | Under | -16.5 |
| 11/19 | Home | Golden State | 234.5 | 110-96 | Under | -28.5 |
| 11/21 | Away | Chicago | 250.5 | 143-107 | Under | -0.5 |
| 11/23 | Away | Philadelphia | 240.5 | 127-117 | Over | +3.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Dallas | 240.5 | 106-102 | Under | -32.5 |
| 11/26 | Home | Milwaukee | 236.5 | 106-103 | Under | -27.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Detroit | 239.5 | 135-138 | Over | +33.5 |
| 12/01 | Home | LA Clippers | 235.5 | 140-123 | Over | +27.5 |
| 12/03 | Away | Dallas | 238.5 | 108-118 | Under | -12.5 |
| 12/05 | Away | Orlando | 241.5 | 105-106 | Under | -30.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Sacramento | 241.5 | 111-127 | Under | -3.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Orlando | 235.5 | 108-117 | Under | -10.5 |
| 12/15 | Home | Toronto | 234.5 | 96-106 | Under | -32.5 |
| 12/18 | Away | Brooklyn | 228.5 | 106-95 | Under | -27.5 |
| 12/19 | Away | Boston | 232.5 | 116-129 | Over | +12.5 |
| 12/21 | Away | New York | 236.5 | 125-132 | Over | +20.5 |
| 12/23 | Home | Toronto | 227.5 | 91-112 | Under | -24.5 |
| 12/26 | Away | Atlanta | 250.5 | 126-111 | Under | -13.5 |
| 12/27 | Home | Indiana | 233.5 | 142-116 | Over | +24.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Denver | 243.5 | 147-123 | Over | +26.5 |
| 01/01 | Away | Detroit | 236.5 | 118-112 | Under | -6.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Minnesota | 235.5 | 115-125 | Over | +4.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | New Orleans | 246.5 | 125-106 | Under | -15.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Minnesota | 238.5 | 94-122 | Under | -22.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Indiana | 235.5 | 99-123 | Under | -13.5 |
| 01/11 | Away | Okla City | 234.5 | 112-124 | Over | +1.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Phoenix | 230.5 | 127-121 | Over | +17.5 |
| 01/15 | Home | Boston | 235.5 | 114-119 | Under | -2.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Okla City | 234.5 | 122-120 | Over | +7.5 |
| 01/19 | Away | Golden State | 239.5 | 112-135 | Over | +7.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Sacramento | 238.5 | 130-117 | Over | +8.5 |
| 01/22 | Away | Portland | 235.5 | 110-127 | Over | +1.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | Utah | 245.5 | 147-116 | Over | +17.5 |
| 01/25 | Away | Phoenix | 225.5 | 111-102 | Under | -12.5 |
| 01/28 | Home | Orlando | 233.5 | 124-133 | Over | +23.5 |
| 01/29 | Away | Chicago | 238.5 | 116-113 | Under | -9.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Chicago | 231.5 | 118-125 | Over | +11.5 |
| 02/01 | Home | Chicago | 233.5 | 134-91 | Under | -8.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Atlanta | 237.5 | 115-127 | Over | +4.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Boston | 227.5 | 96-98 | Under | -33.5 |
| 02/08 | Away | Washington | 236.5 | 132-101 | Under | -3.5 |
| 02/09 | Home | Utah | 236.5 | 111-115 | Under | -10.5 |
| 02/11 | Away | New Orleans | 233.5 | 123-111 | Over | +0.5 |
Milwaukee Detailed Over/Under Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Total | Score | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/22 | Home | Washington | 228.0 | 133-120 | Over | +25.0 |
| 10/24 | Away | Toronto | 235.5 | 122-116 | Over | +2.5 |
| 10/26 | Away | Cleveland | 234.0 | 113-118 | Under | -3.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | New York | 229.5 | 121-111 | Over | +2.5 |
| 10/30 | Home | Golden State | 228.5 | 120-110 | Over | +1.5 |
| 11/01 | Home | Sacramento | 233.0 | 133-135 | Over | +35.0 |
| 11/03 | Away | Indiana | 235.5 | 117-115 | Under | -3.5 |
| 11/04 | Away | Toronto | 237.5 | 100-128 | Under | -9.5 |
| 11/07 | Home | Chicago | 240.5 | 126-110 | Under | -4.5 |
| 11/09 | Home | Houston | 232.5 | 115-122 | Over | +4.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | Dallas | 229.5 | 116-114 | Over | +0.5 |
| 11/12 | Away | Charlotte | 228.5 | 100-111 | Under | -17.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Charlotte | 237.5 | 147-134 | Over | +43.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | LA Lakers | 229.5 | 95-119 | Under | -15.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | Cleveland | 234.5 | 106-118 | Under | -10.5 |
| 11/20 | Home | Philadelphia | 223.5 | 114-123 | Over | +13.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | Detroit | 225.5 | 116-129 | Over | +19.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Portland | 230.5 | 103-115 | Under | -12.5 |
| 11/26 | Away | Miami | 236.5 | 103-106 | Under | -27.5 |
| 11/28 | Away | New York | 232.5 | 109-118 | Under | -5.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Brooklyn | 218.5 | 116-99 | Under | -3.5 |
| 12/01 | Away | Washington | 232.5 | 126-129 | Over | +22.5 |
| 12/03 | Home | Detroit | 228.5 | 113-109 | Under | -6.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Philadelphia | 221.5 | 101-116 | Under | -4.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Detroit | 223.5 | 112-124 | Over | +12.5 |
| 12/11 | Home | Boston | 223.5 | 116-101 | Under | -6.5 |
| 12/14 | Away | Brooklyn | 216.5 | 82-127 | Under | -7.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | Toronto | 218.5 | 105-111 | Under | -2.5 |
| 12/21 | Away | Minnesota | 226.5 | 100-103 | Under | -23.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | Indiana | 217.5 | 111-94 | Under | -12.5 |
| 12/26 | Away | Memphis | 227.5 | 104-125 | Over | +1.5 |
| 12/27 | Away | Chicago | 234.5 | 112-103 | Under | -19.5 |
| 12/29 | Away | Charlotte | 227.5 | 123-113 | Over | +8.5 |
| 12/31 | Home | Washington | 234.5 | 113-114 | Under | -7.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Charlotte | 233.5 | 122-121 | Over | +9.5 |
| 01/04 | Away | Sacramento | 227.5 | 115-98 | Under | -14.5 |
| 01/07 | Away | Golden State | 229.5 | 113-120 | Over | +3.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | LA Lakers | 228.5 | 105-101 | Under | -22.5 |
| 01/11 | Away | Denver | 218.5 | 104-108 | Under | -6.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Minnesota | 229.5 | 106-139 | Over | +15.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | San Antonio | 225.5 | 101-119 | Under | -5.5 |
| 01/19 | Away | Atlanta | 232.5 | 112-110 | Under | -10.5 |
| 01/21 | Home | Okla City | 224.5 | 102-122 | Under | -0.5 |
| 01/23 | Home | Denver | 214.5 | 100-102 | Under | -12.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Philadelphia | 219.5 | 122-139 | Over | +41.5 |
| 01/29 | Away | Washington | 223.5 | 99-109 | Under | -15.5 |
| 02/01 | Away | Boston | 217.5 | 79-107 | Under | -31.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Chicago | 222.5 | 131-115 | Over | +23.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | New Orleans | 222.5 | 141-137 | Over | +55.5 |
| 02/06 | Home | Indiana | 223.5 | 105-99 | Under | -19.5 |
| 02/09 | Away | Orlando | 220.5 | 99-118 | Under | -3.5 |
| 02/11 | Away | Orlando | 220.5 | 116-108 | Over | +3.5 |
| 02/12 | Away | Okla City | 214.5 | 110-93 | Under | -11.5 |
| Total 224.0 | Open | 225.5 | High | 226.5 |
| Last | 225.5 | Low | 223.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NBA season there have been 712 games with over/under lines between 223 and 225. In these games:
- Games have gone over the line 360 times (50.6%).
- Games have gone under the line 340 times (47.8%).
- Games have pushed the line 12 times (1.7%).
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2021-2022 NBA season there have been 304 games where the closing over/under line moved 1.5 points lower than the opening over/under line.
In these games, the under performed better, going 156-141-7 (52.5%). Game totals went under the line by an average of 0.5 points.
Totals History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 224.0 | 224.0 | 224.5 |
| Open | 223.5 | 225.5 | 224.5 |
| History | |||
| 01/23 08:35 PM | -- | -- | 224.5 |
| 01/23 08:28 PM | 224.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 08:28 PM | -- | 224.0 | -- |
| 01/23 08:25 PM | 224.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 08:23 PM | 223.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 08:17 PM | 224.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 08:13 PM | 225.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 07:49 PM | 225.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 07:35 PM | 225.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 07:34 PM | -- | -- | 225.5 |
| 01/23 07:26 PM | -- | 225.5 | -- |
| 01/23 07:25 PM | 225.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 07:22 PM | 225.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 07:05 PM | 226.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 06:44 PM | -- | 226.0 | -- |
| 01/23 06:43 PM | 226.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 06:40 PM | 226.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 06:34 PM | 226.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 06:26 PM | -- | 226.0 | -- |
| 01/23 06:01 PM | 226.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 05:37 PM | 226.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 05:13 PM | 226.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 05:10 PM | 226.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 05:08 PM | -- | 226.0 | -- |
| 01/23 05:07 PM | 226.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 05:01 PM | 226.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 04:44 PM | -- | -- | 226.5 |
| 01/23 02:34 PM | -- | -- | 225.5 |
| 01/23 02:34 PM | 225.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 02:32 PM | -- | 225.5 | -- |
| 01/23 02:31 PM | 224.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 02:25 PM | 225.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 02:10 PM | 225.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 01:44 PM | -- | 226.0 | -- |
| 01/23 01:40 PM | 225.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 01:23 PM | 226.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 12:36 PM | -- | 226.5 | -- |
| 01/23 12:32 PM | 226.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 11:42 AM | -- | 226.0 | -- |
| 01/23 11:25 AM | 226.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 11:24 AM | -- | -- | 226.5 |
| 01/23 11:20 AM | -- | 226.5 | -- |
| 01/23 11:19 AM | 226.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 11:16 AM | 227.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 11:04 AM | 226.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 10:58 AM | 227.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 10:37 AM | 226.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 10:34 AM | -- | -- | 226.5 |
| 01/23 10:34 AM | 226.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 10:08 AM | -- | 226.0 | -- |
| 01/23 09:59 AM | 226.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 09:54 AM | -- | -- | 225.5 |
| 01/23 09:52 AM | 226.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 09:52 AM | -- | 225.5 | -- |
| 01/23 09:50 AM | -- | 225.0 | -- |
| 01/23 09:49 AM | 226.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 09:47 AM | 225.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 09:44 AM | -- | -- | 224.5 |
| 01/23 09:42 AM | -- | 224.5 | -- |
| 01/23 09:40 AM | 225.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 09:37 AM | 224.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 07:44 AM | -- | 224.0 | -- |
| 01/23 07:31 AM | 224.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 07:16 AM | 224.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 07:07 AM | 223.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 06:52 AM | 223.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 03:10 AM | 223.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 01:16 AM | 223.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 01:04 AM | 223.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 12:46 AM | 223.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 12:12 AM | -- | 223.5 | -- |
| 01/23 12:01 AM | 223.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 11:54 PM | -- | 224.0 | -- |
| 01/22 11:44 PM | -- | -- | 224.5 |
| 01/22 10:26 PM | -- | 225.0 | -- |
| 01/22 09:45 PM | -- | -- | 224.5 |
| 01/22 06:16 PM | -- | 224.5 | -- |
| 01/22 06:04 PM | -- | 225.5 | -- |
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