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Miami at Chicago
Sat Mar 18, 2023
8:00pm ET
Chicago, IL
Miami at Chicago: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Miami by 2.5, Total Points: 216.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MIA | adv | CHI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 43-41-2 | 42-41-1 | |
| vs Division | 9-6-1 | 10-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 29-25-2 | 27-26-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 17-25-0 | 19-22-1 | |
| Away | 26-16-2 | 23-19-0 |
Miami Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Home | Detroit | -9.5 | W by 1 | -8.5 |
| 10/27 | Away | Boston | +8.5 | L by 8 | +0.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Minnesota | +8.5 | L by 16 | -7.5 |
| 10/30 | Away | Milwaukee | +7.5 | L by 8 | -0.5 |
| 11/01 | Home | Brooklyn | -7.0 | L by 4 | -11.0 |
| 11/03 | Home | Washington | -8.5 | W by 7 | -1.5 |
| 11/06 | Home | LA Lakers | -1.5 | W by 1 | -0.5 |
| 11/08 | Away | Memphis | -1.5 | W by 6 | +4.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Atlanta | +7.5 | W by 8 | +15.5 |
| 11/12 | Away | San Antonio | -2.0 | W by 5 | +3.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Charlotte | -6.5 | W by 6 | -0.5 |
| 11/16 | Home | Brooklyn | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | Chicago | -1.5 | L by 5 | -6.5 |
| 11/20 | Away | Chicago | -1.5 | W by 18 | +16.5 |
| 11/22 | Away | Cleveland | +1.5 | W by 33 | +34.5 |
| 11/24 | Away | New York | +5.5 | L by 2 | +3.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Brooklyn | +7.5 | L by 15 | -7.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | Milwaukee | +4.0 | L by 7 | -3.0 |
| 11/30 | Home | Indiana | -4.0 | W by 10 | +6.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Indiana | -4.5 | L by 15 | -19.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Toronto | +4.0 | W by 9 | +13.0 |
| 12/08 | Home | Cleveland | +1.5 | L by 12 | -10.5 |
| 12/11 | Away | Charlotte | -4.5 | W by 2 | -2.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Charlotte | -7.5 | W by 11 | +3.5 |
| 12/14 | Home | Chicago | -3.5 | L by 8 | -11.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Chicago | -4.5 | W by 2 | -2.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | Minnesota | +1.5 | L by 4 | -2.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | Orlando | +5.5 | W by 9 | +14.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | Atlanta | -1.0 | W by 9 | +8.0 |
| 12/25 | Home | Philadelphia | -2.0 | W by 6 | +4.0 |
| 12/28 | Away | Golden State | +6.5 | W by 12 | +18.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Utah | -3.0 | L by 8 | -11.0 |
| 01/01 | Away | LA Clippers | +8.0 | L by 17 | -9.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | LA Lakers | +5.0 | W by 14 | +19.0 |
| 01/05 | Away | Phoenix | +2.5 | L by 16 | -13.5 |
| 01/08 | Home | Houston | -4.0 | W by 7 | +3.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Okla City | +4.5 | L by 8 | -3.5 |
| 01/12 | Home | Orlando | -1.0 | W by 3 | +2.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | Charlotte | -8.5 | W by 17 | +8.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | Brooklyn | -1.0 | W by 1 | 0.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Toronto | -3.0 | L by 24 | -27.0 |
| 01/19 | Home | Atlanta | -7.0 | L by 1 | -8.0 |
| 01/21 | Away | Orlando | +1.0 | L by 18 | -17.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Memphis | -11.5 | L by 9 | -20.5 |
| 01/25 | Home | Boston | +8.5 | L by 33 | -24.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | New York | +4.5 | L by 16 | -11.5 |
| 01/29 | Home | Phoenix | -2.0 | L by 13 | -15.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Sacramento | -2.5 | W by 9 | +6.5 |
| 02/02 | Away | Washington | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | LA Clippers | +5.0 | L by 8 | -3.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Orlando | -3.5 | W by 26 | +22.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | San Antonio | -8.0 | W by 12 | +4.0 |
| 02/11 | Home | Boston | +8.0 | L by 4 | +4.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Milwaukee | +7.0 | W by 26 | +33.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | Philadelphia | +2.5 | W by 5 | +7.5 |
| 02/23 | Away | New Orleans | +2.0 | W by 11 | +13.0 |
| 02/26 | Away | Sacramento | +7.5 | W by 11 | +18.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Portland | -6.5 | W by 10 | +3.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | Denver | +6.5 | L by 6 | +0.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Utah | -9.0 | W by 6 | -3.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Detroit | -11.0 | W by 8 | -3.0 |
| 03/07 | Away | Dallas | +4.5 | L by 6 | -1.5 |
| 03/08 | Away | Okla City | +8.5 | L by 7 | +1.5 |
| 03/10 | Home | Washington | -11.5 | L by 2 | -13.5 |
| 03/13 | Home | Denver | +3.5 | L by 12 | -8.5 |
| 03/15 | Away | Detroit | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 03/17 | Away | Detroit | -5.5 | W by 3 | -2.5 |
| 03/18 | Away | Philadelphia | +3.0 | L by 7 | -4.0 |
| 03/20 | Away | Cleveland | +3.0 | W by 3 | +6.0 |
| 03/22 | Home | New Orleans | -3.0 | L by 23 | -26.0 |
| 03/24 | Home | Cleveland | -3.5 | W by 37 | +33.5 |
| 03/26 | Home | Golden State | +5.0 | L by 21 | -16.0 |
| 03/29 | Home | Portland | -14.0 | W by 60 | +46.0 |
| 03/31 | Away | Washington | -12.0 | W by 12 | 0.0 |
| 04/02 | Home | New York | -2.5 | W by 10 | +7.5 |
| 04/04 | Home | Philadelphia | -3.0 | L by 4 | -7.0 |
| 04/05 | Away | Houston | -3.0 | W by 15 | +12.0 |
| 04/07 | Away | Indiana | +3.0 | L by 2 | +1.0 |
| 04/09 | Away | Atlanta | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 04/10 | Home | Dallas | +2.5 | L by 19 | -16.5 |
| 04/12 | Home | Toronto | -14.0 | W by 22 | +8.0 |
| 04/14 | Home | Toronto | -16.0 | W by 15 | -1.0 |
| 04/17 | Away | Philadelphia | +5.5 | L by 1 | +4.5 |
| 04/19 | Home | Chicago | -2.0 | W by 21 | +19.0 |
| 04/21 | Away | Boston | +14.5 | L by 20 | -5.5 |
| 04/24 | Away | Boston | +14.0 | W by 10 | +24.0 |
Chicago Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Home | Okla City | -2.5 | L by 20 | -22.5 |
| 10/27 | Home | Toronto | -2.5 | W by 1 | -1.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Detroit | -2.5 | L by 16 | -18.5 |
| 10/30 | Away | Indiana | +3.0 | W by 7 | +10.0 |
| 11/01 | Away | Dallas | +3.5 | L by 9 | -5.5 |
| 11/03 | Home | Brooklyn | -4.0 | L by 2 | -6.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | Denver | +9.0 | L by 22 | -13.0 |
| 11/06 | Home | Utah | -4.0 | W by 17 | +13.0 |
| 11/08 | Home | Phoenix | +1.0 | L by 1 | 0.0 |
| 11/12 | Home | Detroit | -6.5 | W by 11 | +4.5 |
| 11/13 | Away | Milwaukee | +9.5 | L by 9 | +0.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | Orlando | -2.0 | L by 2 | -4.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Orlando | -3.5 | L by 6 | -9.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Miami | +1.5 | W by 5 | +6.5 |
| 11/20 | Home | Miami | +1.5 | L by 18 | -16.5 |
| 11/22 | Away | Okla City | +7.0 | L by 14 | -7.0 |
| 11/24 | Away | Toronto | +5.0 | L by 13 | -8.0 |
| 11/26 | Away | Brooklyn | +3.0 | L by 9 | -6.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | Boston | +12.5 | L by 27 | -14.5 |
| 11/30 | Home | Milwaukee | +10.5 | W by 7 | +17.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | New Orleans | +1.0 | W by 6 | +7.0 |
| 12/06 | Home | Charlotte | -5.0 | W by 11 | +6.0 |
| 12/08 | Away | San Antonio | -2.0 | W by 9 | +7.0 |
| 12/11 | Away | Milwaukee | +11.5 | L by 4 | +7.5 |
| 12/12 | Home | Denver | +6.5 | L by 8 | -1.5 |
| 12/14 | Away | Miami | +3.5 | W by 8 | +11.5 |
| 12/16 | Away | Miami | +4.5 | L by 2 | +2.5 |
| 12/18 | Away | Philadelphia | +10.0 | W by 4 | +14.0 |
| 12/20 | Home | LA Lakers | +3.5 | W by 16 | +19.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | San Antonio | -6.5 | W by 19 | +12.5 |
| 12/23 | Home | Cleveland | -6.5 | L by 14 | -20.5 |
| 12/26 | Home | Atlanta | +2.5 | W by 5 | +7.5 |
| 12/28 | Home | Indiana | +1.0 | L by 16 | -15.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Philadelphia | +1.0 | W by 13 | +14.0 |
| 01/02 | Away | Philadelphia | +9.5 | L by 13 | -3.5 |
| 01/03 | Away | New York | +8.0 | L by 16 | -8.0 |
| 01/05 | Home | Charlotte | -8.5 | W by 13 | +4.5 |
| 01/08 | Away | Charlotte | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | Houston | -4.0 | W by 5 | +1.0 |
| 01/12 | Home | Golden State | -3.0 | L by 9 | -12.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | San Antonio | -6.5 | W by 6 | -0.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | Cleveland | +4.0 | L by 18 | -14.0 |
| 01/18 | Away | Toronto | -2.0 | W by 6 | +4.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Memphis | -7.5 | W by 29 | +21.5 |
| 01/22 | Away | Phoenix | +5.0 | L by 2 | +3.0 |
| 01/25 | Away | LA Lakers | +6.0 | L by 9 | -3.0 |
| 01/28 | Away | Portland | -5.5 | W by 8 | +2.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | Toronto | -6.5 | L by 11 | -17.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Charlotte | -6.0 | W by 7 | +1.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Sacramento | -1.0 | L by 8 | -9.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Minnesota | +4.5 | W by 6 | +10.5 |
| 02/08 | Away | Memphis | -5.5 | W by 8 | +2.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Orlando | +5.0 | L by 6 | -1.0 |
| 02/12 | Away | Atlanta | +5.0 | W by 10 | +15.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | Cleveland | +9.0 | L by 3 | +6.0 |
| 02/22 | Home | Boston | +8.5 | L by 17 | -8.5 |
| 02/25 | Away | New Orleans | +5.0 | W by 8 | +13.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | Detroit | -10.0 | L by 10 | -20.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Cleveland | +5.5 | W by 9 | +14.5 |
| 03/01 | Home | Milwaukee | +3.5 | L by 16 | -12.5 |
| 03/04 | Away | Sacramento | +6.0 | W by 4 | +10.0 |
| 03/06 | Away | Utah | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 03/07 | Away | Golden State | +8.5 | W by 3 | +11.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | LA Clippers | +8.0 | L by 10 | -2.0 |
| 03/11 | Home | Dallas | +3.5 | L by 35 | -31.5 |
| 03/13 | Away | Indiana | +5.0 | W by 3 | +8.0 |
| 03/14 | Home | LA Clippers | +6.0 | L by 15 | -9.0 |
| 03/16 | Home | Washington | -9.5 | W by 29 | +19.5 |
| 03/18 | Home | Portland | -8.5 | W by 3 | -5.5 |
| 03/21 | Away | Houston | +4.0 | L by 10 | -6.0 |
| 03/23 | Home | Boston | +5.5 | L by 11 | -5.5 |
| 03/25 | Home | Washington | -13.0 | L by 2 | -15.0 |
| 03/27 | Home | Indiana | +3.5 | W by 26 | +29.5 |
| 03/29 | Away | Brooklyn | -3.0 | L by 17 | -20.0 |
| 03/31 | Away | Minnesota | +8.5 | W by 8 | +16.5 |
| 04/01 | Home | Atlanta | -2.0 | L by 12 | -14.0 |
| 04/05 | Home | New York | +1.5 | W by 8 | +9.5 |
| 04/07 | Away | Orlando | +7.0 | L by 15 | -8.0 |
| 04/09 | Home | New York | +5.0 | L by 11 | -6.0 |
| 04/11 | Away | Detroit | -11.0 | W by 22 | +11.0 |
| 04/12 | Away | Washington | +2.0 | W by 2 | +4.0 |
| 04/14 | Away | New York | +13.0 | L by 1 | +12.0 |
| 04/17 | Home | Atlanta | -3.0 | W by 15 | +12.0 |
| 04/19 | Away | Miami | +2.0 | L by 21 | -19.0 |
| MIA -2.5 | Open | -2.5 | High | -4.0 |
| Last | -2.0 | Low | -2.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NBA season there have been 912 games where the closing line favored the away team by 1.5 to 3.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Miami won the game 515 times (56.5%).
- The team like Chicago won the game 397 times (43.5%).
- The team like Miami did better against the spread, going 458-443-11 (50.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NBA season there have been 806 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Chicago did better against the spread, going 400-393-13 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -2.0 | -2.0 | -- |
| Open | -4.0 | -2.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 03/18 07:49 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 07:43 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 07:33 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 03/18 07:22 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 07:13 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 03/18 07:10 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 06:33 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 03/18 06:25 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 06:13 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 05:40 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 05:19 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 04:22 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 04:04 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 03:58 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 03:23 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 03/18 03:23 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 02:58 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 02:53 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 03/18 02:43 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 12:46 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 11:32 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 10:52 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 10:14 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 09:35 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 09:33 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 03/18 09:20 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 09:02 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 08:58 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 08:43 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 03/18 08:31 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 08:13 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 03/18 08:04 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 07:58 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 07:33 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 03/18 07:19 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 06:23 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 03/17 08:54 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
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