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Miami at Cleveland
Mon Feb 24, 2020
7:00pm ET
Cleveland, OH
Miami at Cleveland: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Miami by 6.5, Total Points: 221.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MIA | adv | CLE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 41-40-2 | 38-42-2 | |
| vs Division | 9-6-1 | 7-8-1 | |
| vs Conference | 27-24-2 | 23-27-2 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-3-1 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 16-25-0 | 18-21-1 | |
| Away | 25-15-2 | 20-21-1 |
Miami Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Home | Detroit | -9.5 | W by 1 | -8.5 |
| 10/27 | Away | Boston | +8.5 | L by 8 | +0.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Minnesota | +8.5 | L by 16 | -7.5 |
| 10/30 | Away | Milwaukee | +7.5 | L by 8 | -0.5 |
| 11/01 | Home | Brooklyn | -7.0 | L by 4 | -11.0 |
| 11/03 | Home | Washington | -8.5 | W by 7 | -1.5 |
| 11/06 | Home | LA Lakers | -1.5 | W by 1 | -0.5 |
| 11/08 | Away | Memphis | -1.5 | W by 6 | +4.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Atlanta | +7.5 | W by 8 | +15.5 |
| 11/12 | Away | San Antonio | -2.0 | W by 5 | +3.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Charlotte | -6.5 | W by 6 | -0.5 |
| 11/16 | Home | Brooklyn | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | Chicago | -1.5 | L by 5 | -6.5 |
| 11/20 | Away | Chicago | -1.5 | W by 18 | +16.5 |
| 11/22 | Away | Cleveland | +1.5 | W by 33 | +34.5 |
| 11/24 | Away | New York | +5.5 | L by 2 | +3.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Brooklyn | +7.5 | L by 15 | -7.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | Milwaukee | +4.0 | L by 7 | -3.0 |
| 11/30 | Home | Indiana | -4.0 | W by 10 | +6.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Indiana | -4.5 | L by 15 | -19.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Toronto | +4.0 | W by 9 | +13.0 |
| 12/08 | Home | Cleveland | +1.5 | L by 12 | -10.5 |
| 12/11 | Away | Charlotte | -4.5 | W by 2 | -2.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Charlotte | -7.5 | W by 11 | +3.5 |
| 12/14 | Home | Chicago | -3.5 | L by 8 | -11.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Chicago | -4.5 | W by 2 | -2.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | Minnesota | +1.5 | L by 4 | -2.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | Orlando | +5.5 | W by 9 | +14.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | Atlanta | -1.0 | W by 9 | +8.0 |
| 12/25 | Home | Philadelphia | -2.0 | W by 6 | +4.0 |
| 12/28 | Away | Golden State | +6.5 | W by 12 | +18.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Utah | -3.0 | L by 8 | -11.0 |
| 01/01 | Away | LA Clippers | +8.0 | L by 17 | -9.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | LA Lakers | +5.0 | W by 14 | +19.0 |
| 01/05 | Away | Phoenix | +2.5 | L by 16 | -13.5 |
| 01/08 | Home | Houston | -4.0 | W by 7 | +3.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Okla City | +4.5 | L by 8 | -3.5 |
| 01/12 | Home | Orlando | -1.0 | W by 3 | +2.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | Charlotte | -8.5 | W by 17 | +8.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | Brooklyn | -1.0 | W by 1 | 0.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Toronto | -3.0 | L by 24 | -27.0 |
| 01/19 | Home | Atlanta | -7.0 | L by 1 | -8.0 |
| 01/21 | Away | Orlando | +1.0 | L by 18 | -17.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Memphis | -11.5 | L by 9 | -20.5 |
| 01/25 | Home | Boston | +8.5 | L by 33 | -24.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | New York | +4.5 | L by 16 | -11.5 |
| 01/29 | Home | Phoenix | -2.0 | L by 13 | -15.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Sacramento | -2.5 | W by 9 | +6.5 |
| 02/02 | Away | Washington | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | LA Clippers | +5.0 | L by 8 | -3.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Orlando | -3.5 | W by 26 | +22.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | San Antonio | -8.0 | W by 12 | +4.0 |
| 02/11 | Home | Boston | +8.0 | L by 4 | +4.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Milwaukee | +7.0 | W by 26 | +33.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | Philadelphia | +2.5 | W by 5 | +7.5 |
| 02/23 | Away | New Orleans | +2.0 | W by 11 | +13.0 |
| 02/26 | Away | Sacramento | +7.5 | W by 11 | +18.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Portland | -6.5 | W by 10 | +3.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | Denver | +6.5 | L by 6 | +0.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Utah | -9.0 | W by 6 | -3.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Detroit | -11.0 | W by 8 | -3.0 |
| 03/07 | Away | Dallas | +4.5 | L by 6 | -1.5 |
| 03/08 | Away | Okla City | +8.5 | L by 7 | +1.5 |
| 03/10 | Home | Washington | -11.5 | L by 2 | -13.5 |
| 03/13 | Home | Denver | +3.5 | L by 12 | -8.5 |
| 03/15 | Away | Detroit | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 03/17 | Away | Detroit | -5.5 | W by 3 | -2.5 |
| 03/18 | Away | Philadelphia | +3.0 | L by 7 | -4.0 |
| 03/20 | Away | Cleveland | +3.0 | W by 3 | +6.0 |
| 03/22 | Home | New Orleans | -3.0 | L by 23 | -26.0 |
| 03/24 | Home | Cleveland | -3.5 | W by 37 | +33.5 |
| 03/26 | Home | Golden State | +5.0 | L by 21 | -16.0 |
| 03/29 | Home | Portland | -14.0 | W by 60 | +46.0 |
| 03/31 | Away | Washington | -12.0 | W by 12 | 0.0 |
| 04/02 | Home | New York | -2.5 | W by 10 | +7.5 |
| 04/04 | Home | Philadelphia | -3.0 | L by 4 | -7.0 |
| 04/05 | Away | Houston | -3.0 | W by 15 | +12.0 |
| 04/07 | Away | Indiana | +3.0 | L by 2 | +1.0 |
| 04/09 | Away | Atlanta | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 04/10 | Home | Dallas | +2.5 | L by 19 | -16.5 |
| 04/12 | Home | Toronto | -14.0 | W by 22 | +8.0 |
| 04/14 | Home | Toronto | -16.0 | W by 15 | -1.0 |
| 04/17 | Away | Philadelphia | +5.5 | L by 1 | +4.5 |
Cleveland Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Away | Brooklyn | -1.5 | W by 1 | -0.5 |
| 10/27 | Home | Okla City | -2.5 | L by 3 | -5.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Indiana | +4.0 | L by 12 | -8.0 |
| 10/31 | Home | New York | +2.0 | L by 18 | -16.0 |
| 11/01 | Away | New York | +5.5 | W by 6 | +11.5 |
| 11/03 | Away | Indiana | -2.5 | L by 5 | -7.5 |
| 11/05 | Home | Golden State | -1.0 | W by 11 | +10.0 |
| 11/08 | Away | Okla City | -2.0 | L by 8 | -10.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Golden State | +4.5 | W by 8 | +12.5 |
| 11/13 | Away | Sacramento | +1.0 | L by 12 | -11.0 |
| 11/15 | Away | Portland | -10.0 | W by 14 | +4.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Detroit | -9.0 | W by 8 | -1.0 |
| 11/19 | Home | Denver | +4.5 | W by 12 | +16.5 |
| 11/21 | Away | Philadelphia | +8.0 | W by 3 | +11.0 |
| 11/22 | Home | Miami | -1.5 | L by 33 | -34.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | LA Lakers | -4.0 | L by 6 | -10.0 |
| 11/26 | Home | Toronto | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Atlanta | -4.5 | W by 23 | +18.5 |
| 11/30 | Home | Portland | -12.0 | L by 8 | -20.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Detroit | -9.0 | W by 9 | 0.0 |
| 12/06 | Home | Orlando | -4.5 | W by 10 | +5.5 |
| 12/08 | Away | Miami | -1.5 | W by 12 | +10.5 |
| 12/11 | Away | Orlando | +2.5 | L by 10 | -7.5 |
| 12/12 | Away | Boston | +11.0 | L by 7 | +4.0 |
| 12/14 | Away | Boston | +8.5 | L by 9 | -0.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Atlanta | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | Houston | -4.0 | W by 5 | +1.0 |
| 12/20 | Home | Utah | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | New Orleans | +3.5 | L by 19 | -15.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | Chicago | +6.5 | W by 14 | +20.5 |
| 12/27 | Away | Dallas | +6.0 | W by 3 | +9.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Milwaukee | +5.0 | L by 8 | -3.0 |
| 01/01 | Away | Toronto | +2.5 | L by 3 | -0.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Washington | -9.0 | W by 39 | +30.0 |
| 01/05 | Home | Washington | -10.5 | W by 24 | +13.5 |
| 01/07 | Home | San Antonio | -10.5 | W by 2 | -8.5 |
| 01/11 | Neutral | Brooklyn | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 01/15 | Home | Chicago | -4.0 | W by 18 | +14.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Milwaukee | -2.0 | W by 40 | +38.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Atlanta | -2.0 | W by 21 | +19.0 |
| 01/22 | Away | Orlando | -2.5 | W by 27 | +24.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | Milwaukee | +6.5 | L by 10 | -3.5 |
| 01/26 | Away | Milwaukee | +5.5 | W by 12 | +17.5 |
| 01/29 | Home | LA Clippers | +1.5 | W by 10 | +11.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Detroit | -13.5 | W by 7 | -6.5 |
| 02/01 | Away | Memphis | -8.5 | W by 7 | -1.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | San Antonio | -10.0 | W by 16 | +6.0 |
| 02/05 | Home | Sacramento | -5.0 | W by 26 | +21.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | Washington | -11.5 | W by 8 | -3.5 |
| 02/08 | Away | Brooklyn | -7.5 | W by 23 | +15.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Toronto | -8.5 | W by 24 | +15.5 |
| 02/12 | Home | Philadelphia | -11.0 | L by 2 | -13.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | Chicago | -9.0 | W by 3 | -6.0 |
| 02/22 | Home | Orlando | -5.0 | L by 7 | -12.0 |
| 02/23 | Away | Philadelphia | -2.0 | L by 7 | -9.0 |
| 02/25 | Away | Washington | -13.5 | W by 9 | -4.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Dallas | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Chicago | -5.5 | L by 9 | -14.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | Detroit | -7.0 | W by 10 | +3.0 |
| 03/03 | Home | New York | -4.5 | L by 9 | -13.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | Boston | +8.5 | W by 1 | +9.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Atlanta | +3.0 | L by 11 | -8.0 |
| 03/08 | Home | Minnesota | -1.0 | W by 9 | +8.0 |
| 03/10 | Home | Brooklyn | -6.5 | L by 19 | -25.5 |
| 03/11 | Home | Phoenix | +7.0 | L by 6 | +1.0 |
| 03/13 | Away | New Orleans | +5.5 | W by 21 | +26.5 |
| 03/16 | Away | Houston | -5.0 | L by 14 | -19.0 |
| 03/18 | Away | Indiana | +7.0 | W by 5 | +12.0 |
| 03/20 | Home | Miami | -3.0 | L by 3 | -6.0 |
| 03/22 | Away | Minnesota | +7.5 | L by 13 | -5.5 |
| 03/24 | Away | Miami | +3.5 | L by 37 | -33.5 |
| 03/25 | Home | Charlotte | -11.0 | W by 23 | +12.0 |
| 03/27 | Away | Charlotte | -9.5 | L by 7 | -16.5 |
| 03/29 | Home | Philadelphia | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 03/31 | Away | Denver | +4.5 | L by 29 | -24.5 |
| 04/02 | Away | Utah | -9.5 | W by 16 | +6.5 |
| 04/03 | Away | Phoenix | +6.0 | L by 21 | -15.0 |
| 04/06 | Away | LA Lakers | +5.0 | L by 19 | -14.0 |
| 04/07 | Away | LA Clippers | +4.0 | L by 2 | +2.0 |
| 04/10 | Home | Memphis | -19.0 | W by 12 | -7.0 |
| 04/12 | Home | Indiana | -3.0 | W by 9 | +6.0 |
| 04/14 | Home | Charlotte | -14.5 | L by 10 | -24.5 |
| MIA -6.5 | Open | -5.5 | High | -6.5 |
| Last | -6.0 | Low | -5.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NBA season there have been 581 games where the closing line favored the away team by 5.5 to 7.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Miami won the game 414 times (71.3%).
- The team like Cleveland won the game 167 times (28.7%).
- The team like Miami did better against the spread, going 295-280-6 (51.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.6 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NBA season there have been 506 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Cleveland did better against the spread, going 252-246-8 (50.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -6.5 | -6.5 | -6.5 |
| Open | -6.0 | -6.0 | -5.5 |
| History | |||
| 02/24 07:07 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 07:04 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 02/24 06:44 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 06:44 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 02/24 06:36 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 06:10 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 06:09 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 05:55 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 04:51 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 04:45 PM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 02/24 04:44 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 03:07 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 02:04 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 02/24 01:46 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 01:17 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 12:57 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 12:42 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 12:30 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 12:26 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 12:09 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 11:05 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 10:44 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 10:21 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 10:15 AM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 02/24 09:55 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 09:55 AM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 02/24 09:34 AM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 02/24 09:33 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 09:25 AM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 02/24 08:54 AM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
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