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Miami at Atlanta
Fri Jan 21, 2022
7:30pm ET
Atlanta, GA
Miami at Atlanta: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Atlanta by 1.5, Total Points: 217.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MIA | adv | ATL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 41-40-2 | 29-54-0 | |
| vs Division | 9-6-1 | 4-12-0 | |
| vs Conference | 27-24-2 | 15-38-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-3-1 | 2-8-0 | |
| Home | 16-25-0 | 15-26-0 | |
| Away | 25-15-2 | 14-28-0 |
Miami Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Home | Detroit | -9.5 | W by 1 | -8.5 |
| 10/27 | Away | Boston | +8.5 | L by 8 | +0.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Minnesota | +8.5 | L by 16 | -7.5 |
| 10/30 | Away | Milwaukee | +7.5 | L by 8 | -0.5 |
| 11/01 | Home | Brooklyn | -7.0 | L by 4 | -11.0 |
| 11/03 | Home | Washington | -8.5 | W by 7 | -1.5 |
| 11/06 | Home | LA Lakers | -1.5 | W by 1 | -0.5 |
| 11/08 | Away | Memphis | -1.5 | W by 6 | +4.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Atlanta | +7.5 | W by 8 | +15.5 |
| 11/12 | Away | San Antonio | -2.0 | W by 5 | +3.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Charlotte | -6.5 | W by 6 | -0.5 |
| 11/16 | Home | Brooklyn | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | Chicago | -1.5 | L by 5 | -6.5 |
| 11/20 | Away | Chicago | -1.5 | W by 18 | +16.5 |
| 11/22 | Away | Cleveland | +1.5 | W by 33 | +34.5 |
| 11/24 | Away | New York | +5.5 | L by 2 | +3.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Brooklyn | +7.5 | L by 15 | -7.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | Milwaukee | +4.0 | L by 7 | -3.0 |
| 11/30 | Home | Indiana | -4.0 | W by 10 | +6.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Indiana | -4.5 | L by 15 | -19.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Toronto | +4.0 | W by 9 | +13.0 |
| 12/08 | Home | Cleveland | +1.5 | L by 12 | -10.5 |
| 12/11 | Away | Charlotte | -4.5 | W by 2 | -2.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Charlotte | -7.5 | W by 11 | +3.5 |
| 12/14 | Home | Chicago | -3.5 | L by 8 | -11.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Chicago | -4.5 | W by 2 | -2.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | Minnesota | +1.5 | L by 4 | -2.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | Orlando | +5.5 | W by 9 | +14.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | Atlanta | -1.0 | W by 9 | +8.0 |
| 12/25 | Home | Philadelphia | -2.0 | W by 6 | +4.0 |
| 12/28 | Away | Golden State | +6.5 | W by 12 | +18.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Utah | -3.0 | L by 8 | -11.0 |
| 01/01 | Away | LA Clippers | +8.0 | L by 17 | -9.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | LA Lakers | +5.0 | W by 14 | +19.0 |
| 01/05 | Away | Phoenix | +2.5 | L by 16 | -13.5 |
| 01/08 | Home | Houston | -4.0 | W by 7 | +3.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Okla City | +4.5 | L by 8 | -3.5 |
| 01/12 | Home | Orlando | -1.0 | W by 3 | +2.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | Charlotte | -8.5 | W by 17 | +8.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | Brooklyn | -1.0 | W by 1 | 0.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Toronto | -3.0 | L by 24 | -27.0 |
| 01/19 | Home | Atlanta | -7.0 | L by 1 | -8.0 |
| 01/21 | Away | Orlando | +1.0 | L by 18 | -17.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Memphis | -11.5 | L by 9 | -20.5 |
| 01/25 | Home | Boston | +8.5 | L by 33 | -24.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | New York | +4.5 | L by 16 | -11.5 |
| 01/29 | Home | Phoenix | -2.0 | L by 13 | -15.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Sacramento | -2.5 | W by 9 | +6.5 |
| 02/02 | Away | Washington | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | LA Clippers | +5.0 | L by 8 | -3.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Orlando | -3.5 | W by 26 | +22.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | San Antonio | -8.0 | W by 12 | +4.0 |
| 02/11 | Home | Boston | +8.0 | L by 4 | +4.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Milwaukee | +7.0 | W by 26 | +33.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | Philadelphia | +2.5 | W by 5 | +7.5 |
| 02/23 | Away | New Orleans | +2.0 | W by 11 | +13.0 |
| 02/26 | Away | Sacramento | +7.5 | W by 11 | +18.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Portland | -6.5 | W by 10 | +3.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | Denver | +6.5 | L by 6 | +0.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Utah | -9.0 | W by 6 | -3.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Detroit | -11.0 | W by 8 | -3.0 |
| 03/07 | Away | Dallas | +4.5 | L by 6 | -1.5 |
| 03/08 | Away | Okla City | +8.5 | L by 7 | +1.5 |
| 03/10 | Home | Washington | -11.5 | L by 2 | -13.5 |
| 03/13 | Home | Denver | +3.5 | L by 12 | -8.5 |
| 03/15 | Away | Detroit | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 03/17 | Away | Detroit | -5.5 | W by 3 | -2.5 |
| 03/18 | Away | Philadelphia | +3.0 | L by 7 | -4.0 |
| 03/20 | Away | Cleveland | +3.0 | W by 3 | +6.0 |
| 03/22 | Home | New Orleans | -3.0 | L by 23 | -26.0 |
| 03/24 | Home | Cleveland | -3.5 | W by 37 | +33.5 |
| 03/26 | Home | Golden State | +5.0 | L by 21 | -16.0 |
| 03/29 | Home | Portland | -14.0 | W by 60 | +46.0 |
| 03/31 | Away | Washington | -12.0 | W by 12 | 0.0 |
| 04/02 | Home | New York | -2.5 | W by 10 | +7.5 |
| 04/04 | Home | Philadelphia | -3.0 | L by 4 | -7.0 |
| 04/05 | Away | Houston | -3.0 | W by 15 | +12.0 |
| 04/07 | Away | Indiana | +3.0 | L by 2 | +1.0 |
| 04/09 | Away | Atlanta | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 04/10 | Home | Dallas | +2.5 | L by 19 | -16.5 |
| 04/12 | Home | Toronto | -14.0 | W by 22 | +8.0 |
| 04/14 | Home | Toronto | -16.0 | W by 15 | -1.0 |
| 04/17 | Away | Philadelphia | +5.5 | L by 1 | +4.5 |
Atlanta Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Away | Charlotte | -4.0 | L by 6 | -10.0 |
| 10/27 | Home | New York | +1.0 | L by 6 | -5.0 |
| 10/29 | Away | Milwaukee | +6.0 | W by 17 | +23.0 |
| 10/30 | Home | Minnesota | +2.5 | W by 14 | +16.5 |
| 11/01 | Home | Washington | -9.5 | W by 9 | -0.5 |
| 11/04 | Away | New Orleans | +2.0 | W by 18 | +20.0 |
| 11/06 | Away | Okla City | +1.0 | L by 9 | -8.0 |
| 11/09 | Neutral | Orlando | -3.5 | W by 1 | -2.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Miami | -7.5 | L by 8 | -15.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | Detroit | -4.5 | W by 6 | +1.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | New York | -1.0 | L by 2 | -3.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Philadelphia | +1.5 | L by 10 | -8.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | Indiana | -3.5 | L by 5 | -8.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | Brooklyn | -3.5 | W by 2 | -1.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Washington | -8.5 | W by 28 | +19.5 |
| 11/26 | Away | Boston | +7.0 | L by 10 | -3.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | Cleveland | +4.5 | L by 23 | -18.5 |
| 11/30 | Away | San Antonio | -6.0 | W by 2 | -4.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Milwaukee | +6.0 | L by 11 | -5.0 |
| 12/06 | Home | Brooklyn | -3.5 | L by 1 | -4.5 |
| 12/08 | Away | Philadelphia | +8.5 | L by 11 | -2.5 |
| 12/11 | Home | Denver | +3.5 | L by 7 | -3.5 |
| 12/13 | Away | Toronto | +2.5 | L by 7 | -4.5 |
| 12/15 | Away | Toronto | +1.5 | W by 21 | +22.5 |
| 12/16 | Away | Cleveland | +4.5 | L by 8 | -3.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | Detroit | -11.5 | W by 6 | -5.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | Houston | +3.0 | W by 7 | +10.0 |
| 12/22 | Away | Miami | +1.0 | L by 9 | -8.0 |
| 12/23 | Home | Memphis | -2.0 | L by 6 | -8.0 |
| 12/26 | Away | Chicago | -2.5 | L by 5 | -7.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Sacramento | +1.0 | L by 7 | -6.0 |
| 12/31 | Away | Washington | -6.5 | W by 4 | -2.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Okla City | -1.0 | W by 3 | +2.0 |
| 01/05 | Away | Indiana | +3.0 | L by 34 | -31.0 |
| 01/07 | Away | Orlando | -2.0 | L by 7 | -9.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Philadelphia | -1.0 | W by 7 | +6.0 |
| 01/12 | Home | Indiana | -6.0 | L by 18 | -24.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Washington | -8.0 | L by 28 | -36.0 |
| 01/15 | Home | San Antonio | -8.5 | W by 10 | +1.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Orlando | -4.5 | W by 2 | -2.5 |
| 01/19 | Away | Miami | +7.0 | W by 1 | +8.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Cleveland | +2.0 | L by 21 | -19.0 |
| 01/22 | Away | Sacramento | +8.5 | L by 15 | -6.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | Golden State | +6.0 | L by 22 | -16.0 |
| 01/26 | Home | Dallas | -2.0 | L by 5 | -7.0 |
| 01/28 | Home | Toronto | -6.0 | W by 1 | -5.0 |
| 01/30 | Home | LA Lakers | -6.0 | W by 16 | +10.0 |
| 02/02 | Home | Phoenix | +3.0 | W by 9 | +12.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Golden State | -2.5 | W by 7 | +4.5 |
| 02/05 | Home | LA Clippers | +4.0 | L by 5 | -1.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | Boston | +11.5 | L by 8 | +3.5 |
| 02/09 | Away | Philadelphia | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Houston | -7.0 | W by 9 | +2.0 |
| 02/12 | Home | Chicago | -5.0 | L by 10 | -15.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | Charlotte | -7.0 | L by 23 | -30.0 |
| 02/23 | Home | Toronto | -7.0 | L by 2 | -9.0 |
| 02/25 | Home | Orlando | -2.0 | W by 17 | +15.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | Utah | -2.0 | W by 27 | +25.0 |
| 02/29 | Away | Brooklyn | +1.0 | L by 27 | -26.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Brooklyn | -1.0 | L by 12 | -13.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | New York | +1.5 | W by 16 | +17.5 |
| 03/06 | Home | Cleveland | -3.0 | W by 11 | +8.0 |
| 03/08 | Away | Memphis | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 03/10 | Home | New Orleans | +6.5 | L by 13 | -6.5 |
| 03/13 | Away | Portland | -4.5 | L by 4 | -8.5 |
| 03/15 | Away | Utah | -1.0 | L by 2 | -3.0 |
| 03/17 | Away | LA Clippers | +9.5 | W by 17 | +26.5 |
| 03/18 | Away | LA Lakers | +9.0 | L by 31 | -22.0 |
| 03/21 | Away | Phoenix | +9.0 | L by 13 | -4.0 |
| 03/23 | Home | Charlotte | -7.5 | W by 41 | +33.5 |
| 03/25 | Home | Boston | +10.5 | W by 2 | +12.5 |
| 03/27 | Home | Portland | -11.5 | W by 14 | +2.5 |
| 03/28 | Home | Boston | +16.0 | W by 1 | +17.0 |
| 03/30 | Home | Milwaukee | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 04/01 | Away | Chicago | +2.0 | W by 12 | +14.0 |
| 04/03 | Home | Detroit | -11.5 | W by 8 | -3.5 |
| 04/04 | Away | Dallas | +11.5 | L by 14 | -2.5 |
| 04/06 | Away | Denver | +10.5 | L by 32 | -21.5 |
| 04/09 | Home | Miami | +3.5 | L by 6 | -2.5 |
| 04/10 | Home | Charlotte | -8.5 | L by 1 | -9.5 |
| 04/12 | Away | Minnesota | +12.0 | L by 3 | +9.0 |
| 04/14 | Away | Indiana | +13.5 | L by 42 | -28.5 |
| 04/17 | Away | Chicago | +3.0 | L by 15 | -12.0 |
| ATL -1.5 | Open | -1.0 | High | -2.5 |
| Last | -2.0 | Low | -1.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NBA season there have been 735 games where the closing line favored the home team by 0.5 to 2.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Atlanta won the game 392 times (53.3%).
- The team like Miami won the game 343 times (46.7%).
- The team like Atlanta did better against the spread, going 368-359-8 (50.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.6 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NBA season there have been 1275 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Miami did better against the spread, going 641-612-22 (51.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -1.5 | -2.0 | -1.5 |
| Open | -1.5 | -1.5 | -1.5 |
| History | |||
| 01/21 07:37 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 07:31 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 07:24 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 01/21 07:14 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 01/21 07:13 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 07:01 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 06:46 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 06:34 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 01/21 06:28 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 06:25 PM | -- | -- | -1.5 |
| 01/21 06:19 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 06:15 PM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 01/21 06:14 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 01/21 06:05 PM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 01/21 06:04 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 06:04 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 01/21 05:46 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 05:28 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 05:16 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 05:04 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 04:25 PM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 01/21 04:24 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 01/21 03:35 PM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 01/21 03:13 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 03:04 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 02:49 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 02:28 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 02:16 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 01:49 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 01:13 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 01:01 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 12:22 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 11:55 AM | -- | -- | -1.5 |
| 01/21 11:54 AM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 01/21 11:49 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 11:34 AM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 01/21 11:05 AM | -- | -- | -1.5 |
| 01/21 11:04 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 10:46 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 10:28 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 10:19 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 09:43 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 09:25 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 09:25 AM | -- | -- | -1.5 |
| 01/21 09:10 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 08:55 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 08:40 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 08:37 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 08:13 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 06:54 AM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
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