ATS Situational Trends

Record MIA adv IND
Season 34-37-1 39-33-3
vs Division 8-6-0 11-5-0
vs Conference 22-22-1 27-18-1
Streak L1 L1
Last 5 2-3-0 3-2-0
Last 10 4-6-0 6-4-0
Home 13-22-0 18-16-2
Away 21-15-1 21-17-1

Miami Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
10/25 Home Detroit -9.5 W by 1 -8.5
10/27 Away Boston +8.5 L by 8 +0.5
10/28 Away Minnesota +8.5 L by 16 -7.5
10/30 Away Milwaukee +7.5 L by 8 -0.5
11/01 Home Brooklyn -7.0 L by 4 -11.0
11/03 Home Washington -8.5 W by 7 -1.5
11/06 Home LA Lakers -1.5 W by 1 -0.5
11/08 Away Memphis -1.5 W by 6 +4.5
11/11 Away Atlanta +7.5 W by 8 +15.5
11/12 Away San Antonio -2.0 W by 5 +3.0
11/14 Away Charlotte -6.5 W by 6 -0.5
11/16 Home Brooklyn -3.5 W by 7 +3.5
11/18 Away Chicago -1.5 L by 5 -6.5
11/20 Away Chicago -1.5 W by 18 +16.5
11/22 Away Cleveland +1.5 W by 33 +34.5
11/24 Away New York +5.5 L by 2 +3.5
11/25 Away Brooklyn +7.5 L by 15 -7.5
11/28 Home Milwaukee +4.0 L by 7 -3.0
11/30 Home Indiana -4.0 W by 10 +6.0
12/02 Home Indiana -4.5 L by 15 -19.5
12/06 Away Toronto +4.0 W by 9 +13.0
12/08 Home Cleveland +1.5 L by 12 -10.5
12/11 Away Charlotte -4.5 W by 2 -2.5
12/13 Home Charlotte -7.5 W by 11 +3.5
12/14 Home Chicago -3.5 L by 8 -11.5
12/16 Home Chicago -4.5 W by 2 -2.5
12/18 Home Minnesota +1.5 L by 4 -2.5
12/20 Away Orlando +5.5 W by 9 +14.5
12/22 Home Atlanta -1.0 W by 9 +8.0
12/25 Home Philadelphia -2.0 W by 6 +4.0
12/28 Away Golden State +6.5 W by 12 +18.5
12/30 Away Utah -3.0 L by 8 -11.0
01/01 Away LA Clippers +8.0 L by 17 -9.0
01/03 Away LA Lakers +5.0 W by 14 +19.0
01/05 Away Phoenix +2.5 L by 16 -13.5
01/08 Home Houston -4.0 W by 7 +3.0
01/10 Home Okla City +4.5 L by 8 -3.5
01/12 Home Orlando -1.0 W by 3 +2.0
01/14 Home Charlotte -8.5 W by 17 +8.5
01/15 Away Brooklyn -1.0 W by 1 0.0
01/17 Away Toronto -3.0 L by 24 -27.0
01/19 Home Atlanta -7.0 L by 1 -8.0
01/21 Away Orlando +1.0 L by 18 -17.0
01/24 Home Memphis -11.5 L by 9 -20.5
01/25 Home Boston +8.5 L by 33 -24.5
01/27 Away New York +4.5 L by 16 -11.5
01/29 Home Phoenix -2.0 L by 13 -15.0
01/31 Home Sacramento -2.5 W by 9 +6.5
02/02 Away Washington -7.5 W by 8 +0.5
02/04 Home LA Clippers +5.0 L by 8 -3.0
02/06 Home Orlando -3.5 W by 26 +22.5
02/07 Home San Antonio -8.0 W by 12 +4.0
02/11 Home Boston +8.0 L by 4 +4.0
02/13 Away Milwaukee +7.0 W by 26 +33.0
02/14 Away Philadelphia +2.5 W by 5 +7.5
02/23 Away New Orleans +2.0 W by 11 +13.0
02/26 Away Sacramento +7.5 W by 11 +18.5
02/27 Away Portland -6.5 W by 10 +3.5
02/29 Away Denver +6.5 L by 6 +0.5
03/02 Home Utah -9.0 W by 6 -3.0
03/05 Home Detroit -11.0 W by 8 -3.0
03/07 Away Dallas +4.5 L by 6 -1.5
03/08 Away Okla City +8.5 L by 7 +1.5
03/10 Home Washington -11.5 L by 2 -13.5
03/13 Home Denver +3.5 L by 12 -8.5
03/15 Away Detroit -7.5 W by 13 +5.5
03/17 Away Detroit -5.5 W by 3 -2.5
03/18 Away Philadelphia +3.0 L by 7 -4.0
03/20 Away Cleveland +3.0 W by 3 +6.0
03/22 Home New Orleans -3.0 L by 23 -26.0
03/24 Home Cleveland -3.5 W by 37 +33.5
03/26 Home Golden State +5.0 L by 21 -16.0

Indiana Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
10/25 Home Washington -4.5 W by 23 +18.5
10/28 Away Cleveland -4.0 W by 12 +8.0
10/30 Home Chicago -3.0 L by 7 -10.0
11/01 Away Boston +13.0 L by 51 -38.0
11/03 Home Cleveland +2.5 W by 5 +7.5
11/04 Home Charlotte -5.0 L by 1 -6.0
11/06 Home San Antonio -8.5 W by 41 +32.5
11/08 Home Utah -6.0 W by 16 +10.0
11/09 Home Milwaukee +1.0 W by 2 +3.0
11/12 Away Philadelphia +7.0 L by 11 -4.0
11/14 Away Philadelphia +6.5 W by 6 +12.5
11/19 Home Orlando -4.5 L by 12 -16.5
11/21 Away Atlanta +3.5 W by 5 +8.5
11/22 Home Toronto -2.5 L by 1 -3.5
11/24 Home Detroit -9.5 W by 23 +13.5
11/27 Home Portland -12.0 L by 4 -16.0
11/30 Away Miami +4.0 L by 10 -6.0
12/02 Away Miami +4.5 W by 15 +19.5
12/04 Home Boston +4.5 W by 10 +14.5
12/07 Neutral Milwaukee +5.0 W by 9 +14.0
12/09 Neutral LA Lakers +4.0 L by 14 -10.0
12/11 Away Detroit -7.0 W by 8 +1.0
12/13 Away Milwaukee +6.5 L by 14 -7.5
12/15 Away Washington -8.0 L by 14 -22.0
12/16 Away Minnesota +10.5 L by 18 -7.5
12/18 Home LA Clippers +4.0 L by 24 -20.0
12/20 Home Charlotte -10.5 W by 31 +20.5
12/21 Away Memphis +2.0 L by 13 -11.0
12/23 Home Orlando -2.5 L by 7 -9.5
12/26 Away Houston +3.0 W by 6 +9.0
12/28 Away Chicago -1.0 W by 16 +15.0
12/30 Home New York -4.0 W by 14 +10.0
01/01 Away Milwaukee +8.0 W by 9 +17.0
01/03 Home Milwaukee +3.5 W by 12 +15.5
01/05 Home Atlanta -3.0 W by 34 +31.0
01/06 Home Boston +7.0 L by 17 -10.0
01/08 Home Boston +3.5 W by 2 +5.5
01/10 Home Washington -8.0 W by 8 0.0
01/12 Away Atlanta +6.0 W by 18 +24.0
01/14 Away Denver +10.5 L by 8 +2.5
01/15 Away Utah +7.0 L by 27 -20.0
01/18 Away Sacramento +8.5 W by 5 +13.5
01/19 Away Portland -8.0 L by 3 -11.0
01/21 Away Phoenix +7.0 L by 7 0.0
01/23 Home Denver +5.0 L by 5 0.0
01/25 Home Philadelphia +4.5 W by 12 +16.5
01/26 Home Phoenix +5.0 W by 2 +7.0
01/28 Home Memphis -7.5 W by 6 -1.5
01/30 Away Boston +8.0 L by 5 +3.0
02/01 Away New York +2.0 L by 4 -2.0
02/02 Home Sacramento +4.0 L by 11 -7.0
02/04 Away Charlotte -11.5 W by 16 +4.5
02/06 Home Houston -8.0 W by 3 -5.0
02/08 Home Golden State -5.5 L by 22 -27.5
02/10 Away New York -3.0 W by 14 +11.0
02/12 Away Charlotte -10.0 L by 9 -19.0
02/14 Away Toronto -2.5 W by 2 -0.5
02/22 Home Detroit -12.0 W by 14 +2.0
02/25 Home Dallas +2.0 W by 22 +24.0
02/26 Home Toronto -5.5 L by 8 -13.5
02/28 Home New Orleans -4.0 W by 9 +5.0
03/01 Away New Orleans +5.5 L by 27 -21.5
03/03 Away San Antonio -6.5 L by 12 -18.5
03/05 Away Dallas +5.5 W by 17 +22.5
03/07 Home Minnesota -1.0 L by 2 -3.0
03/10 Away Orlando (Pick) W by 14 +14.0
03/12 Away Okla City +5.5 W by 10 +15.5
03/13 Home Chicago -5.0 L by 3 -8.0
03/16 Home Brooklyn -8.0 W by 21 +13.0
03/18 Home Cleveland -7.0 L by 5 -12.0
03/20 Away Detroit -11.0 W by 19 +8.0
03/22 Away Golden State +4.5 W by 12 +16.5
03/24 Away LA Lakers +2.5 L by 5 -2.5
03/25 Away LA Clippers +6.0 W by 17 +23.0
03/27 Away Chicago -3.5 L by 26 -29.5
IND -5.5 Open -5.0 High -6.0
Last -6.0 Low -5.0

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2016-2017 NBA season there have been 1069 games where the closing line favored the home team by 4.5 to 6.5 points. In these games:

  • The team like Indiana won the game 745 times (69.7%).
  • The team like Miami won the game 324 times (30.3%).
  • The team like Indiana did better against the spread, going 548-504-17 (52.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2018-2019 NBA season there have been 1163 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.

In these games, the team like Miami did better against the spread, going 580-562-21 (50.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -5.5 -5.5 -5.0
Open -5.5 -5.5 -5.5
History
12/03 06:52 PM -5.5 -- --
12/03 06:31 PM -5.5 -- --
12/03 05:52 PM -5.5 -- --
12/03 04:46 PM -5.5 -- --
12/03 04:43 PM -5.5 -- --
12/03 04:07 PM -5.5 -- --
12/03 01:55 PM -- -- -5.0
12/03 12:35 PM -- -- -5.5
12/03 11:55 AM -- -- -5.0
12/03 11:49 AM -5.5 -- --
12/03 11:40 AM -5.5 -- --
12/03 11:34 AM -- -5.5 --
12/03 11:25 AM -- -- -5.5
12/03 11:16 AM -6.0 -- --
12/03 11:15 AM -- -- -6.0
12/03 10:44 AM -- -6.0 --
12/03 10:43 AM -6.0 -- --
12/03 09:55 AM -5.5 -- --
12/03 09:43 AM -5.5 -- --
12/03 09:24 AM -- -5.5 --
12/03 09:15 AM -- -- -5.5