ATS Situational Trends

Record MIA adv NO
Season 34-37-1 41-31-1
vs Division 8-6-0 7-7-1
vs Conference 22-22-1 24-20-1
Streak L1 W1
Last 5 2-3-0 2-3-0
Last 10 4-6-0 6-4-0
Home 13-22-0 20-15-0
Away 21-15-1 21-16-1

Miami Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
10/25 Home Detroit -9.5 W by 1 -8.5
10/27 Away Boston +8.5 L by 8 +0.5
10/28 Away Minnesota +8.5 L by 16 -7.5
10/30 Away Milwaukee +7.5 L by 8 -0.5
11/01 Home Brooklyn -7.0 L by 4 -11.0
11/03 Home Washington -8.5 W by 7 -1.5
11/06 Home LA Lakers -1.5 W by 1 -0.5
11/08 Away Memphis -1.5 W by 6 +4.5
11/11 Away Atlanta +7.5 W by 8 +15.5
11/12 Away San Antonio -2.0 W by 5 +3.0
11/14 Away Charlotte -6.5 W by 6 -0.5
11/16 Home Brooklyn -3.5 W by 7 +3.5
11/18 Away Chicago -1.5 L by 5 -6.5
11/20 Away Chicago -1.5 W by 18 +16.5
11/22 Away Cleveland +1.5 W by 33 +34.5
11/24 Away New York +5.5 L by 2 +3.5
11/25 Away Brooklyn +7.5 L by 15 -7.5
11/28 Home Milwaukee +4.0 L by 7 -3.0
11/30 Home Indiana -4.0 W by 10 +6.0
12/02 Home Indiana -4.5 L by 15 -19.5
12/06 Away Toronto +4.0 W by 9 +13.0
12/08 Home Cleveland +1.5 L by 12 -10.5
12/11 Away Charlotte -4.5 W by 2 -2.5
12/13 Home Charlotte -7.5 W by 11 +3.5
12/14 Home Chicago -3.5 L by 8 -11.5
12/16 Home Chicago -4.5 W by 2 -2.5
12/18 Home Minnesota +1.5 L by 4 -2.5
12/20 Away Orlando +5.5 W by 9 +14.5
12/22 Home Atlanta -1.0 W by 9 +8.0
12/25 Home Philadelphia -2.0 W by 6 +4.0
12/28 Away Golden State +6.5 W by 12 +18.5
12/30 Away Utah -3.0 L by 8 -11.0
01/01 Away LA Clippers +8.0 L by 17 -9.0
01/03 Away LA Lakers +5.0 W by 14 +19.0
01/05 Away Phoenix +2.5 L by 16 -13.5
01/08 Home Houston -4.0 W by 7 +3.0
01/10 Home Okla City +4.5 L by 8 -3.5
01/12 Home Orlando -1.0 W by 3 +2.0
01/14 Home Charlotte -8.5 W by 17 +8.5
01/15 Away Brooklyn -1.0 W by 1 0.0
01/17 Away Toronto -3.0 L by 24 -27.0
01/19 Home Atlanta -7.0 L by 1 -8.0
01/21 Away Orlando +1.0 L by 18 -17.0
01/24 Home Memphis -11.5 L by 9 -20.5
01/25 Home Boston +8.5 L by 33 -24.5
01/27 Away New York +4.5 L by 16 -11.5
01/29 Home Phoenix -2.0 L by 13 -15.0
01/31 Home Sacramento -2.5 W by 9 +6.5
02/02 Away Washington -7.5 W by 8 +0.5
02/04 Home LA Clippers +5.0 L by 8 -3.0
02/06 Home Orlando -3.5 W by 26 +22.5
02/07 Home San Antonio -8.0 W by 12 +4.0
02/11 Home Boston +8.0 L by 4 +4.0
02/13 Away Milwaukee +7.0 W by 26 +33.0
02/14 Away Philadelphia +2.5 W by 5 +7.5
02/23 Away New Orleans +2.0 W by 11 +13.0
02/26 Away Sacramento +7.5 W by 11 +18.5
02/27 Away Portland -6.5 W by 10 +3.5
02/29 Away Denver +6.5 L by 6 +0.5
03/02 Home Utah -9.0 W by 6 -3.0
03/05 Home Detroit -11.0 W by 8 -3.0
03/07 Away Dallas +4.5 L by 6 -1.5
03/08 Away Okla City +8.5 L by 7 +1.5
03/10 Home Washington -11.5 L by 2 -13.5
03/13 Home Denver +3.5 L by 12 -8.5
03/15 Away Detroit -7.5 W by 13 +5.5
03/17 Away Detroit -5.5 W by 3 -2.5
03/18 Away Philadelphia +3.0 L by 7 -4.0
03/20 Away Cleveland +3.0 W by 3 +6.0
03/22 Home New Orleans -3.0 L by 23 -26.0
03/24 Home Cleveland -3.5 W by 37 +33.5
03/26 Home Golden State +5.0 L by 21 -16.0

New Orleans Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
10/25 Away Memphis +1.0 W by 7 +8.0
10/28 Home New York -3.0 W by 9 +6.0
10/30 Home Golden State -3.0 L by 28 -31.0
11/01 Away Okla City +3.5 W by 4 +7.5
11/02 Home Detroit -4.5 W by 9 +4.5
11/04 Home Atlanta -2.0 L by 18 -20.0
11/06 Away Denver +6.5 L by 18 -11.5
11/08 Away Minnesota +9.5 L by 21 -11.5
11/10 Away Houston +3.0 L by 3 0.0
11/12 Home Dallas +3.5 L by 12 -8.5
11/14 Home Dallas +3.5 W by 21 +24.5
11/17 Home Denver +4.5 W by 5 +9.5
11/18 Home Minnesota +7.5 L by 1 +6.5
11/20 Home Sacramento +2.0 W by 36 +38.0
11/22 Home Sacramento +1.5 W by 5 +6.5
11/24 Away LA Clippers +5.5 W by 10 +15.5
11/25 Away Utah -3.0 L by 5 -8.0
11/27 Away Utah -6.0 L by 2 -8.0
11/29 Home Philadelphia -2.5 W by 10 +7.5
12/01 Home San Antonio -13.0 W by 15 +2.0
12/02 Away Chicago -1.0 L by 6 -7.0
12/04 Away Sacramento +3.0 W by 10 +13.0
12/07 Neutral LA Lakers +2.0 L by 44 -42.0
12/11 Home Minnesota -4.0 W by 14 +10.0
12/13 Away Washington -6.5 W by 20 +13.5
12/15 Away Charlotte -9.5 W by 5 -4.5
12/17 Away San Antonio -7.5 W by 36 +28.5
12/19 Home Memphis -9.0 L by 2 -11.0
12/21 Away Cleveland -3.5 W by 19 +15.5
12/23 Home Houston -7.5 L by 2 -9.5
12/26 Home Memphis -5.0 L by 1 -6.0
12/28 Home Utah -9.0 W by 7 -2.0
12/31 Home LA Lakers -5.5 W by 20 +14.5
01/02 Home Brooklyn -5.5 W by 27 +21.5
01/03 Away Minnesota +6.0 W by 11 +17.0
01/05 Home LA Clippers +1.0 L by 16 -15.0
01/07 Away Sacramento +4.5 W by 33 +37.5
01/10 Away Golden State -2.5 W by 36 +33.5
01/12 Away Denver +5.5 L by 12 -6.5
01/13 Away Dallas +5.5 W by 10 +15.5
01/15 Away Dallas -4.5 L by 5 -9.5
01/17 Home Charlotte -12.0 W by 20 +8.0
01/19 Home Phoenix -2.5 L by 14 -16.5
01/23 Home Utah -7.0 W by 29 +22.0
01/26 Home Okla City +1.0 L by 24 -23.0
01/27 Away Milwaukee +3.5 L by 24 -20.5
01/29 Away Boston +8.0 L by 6 +2.0
01/31 Away Houston +1.5 W by 11 +12.5
02/02 Away San Antonio -8.5 W by 1 -7.5
02/05 Home Toronto -10.5 W by 38 +27.5
02/07 Away LA Clippers +5.0 W by 11 +16.0
02/09 Away LA Lakers -2.5 L by 17 -19.5
02/10 Away Portland -8.5 W by 9 +0.5
02/12 Away Memphis -9.5 W by 9 -0.5
02/14 Home Washington -14.5 W by 7 -7.5
02/22 Home Houston -6.5 W by 22 +15.5
02/23 Home Miami -2.0 L by 11 -13.0
02/25 Home Chicago -5.0 L by 8 -13.0
02/27 Away New York -6.5 W by 23 +16.5
02/28 Away Indiana +4.0 L by 9 -5.0
03/01 Home Indiana -5.5 W by 27 +21.5
03/05 Away Toronto -9.5 W by 41 +31.5
03/08 Away Philadelphia -7.5 W by 8 +0.5
03/10 Away Atlanta -6.5 W by 13 +6.5
03/13 Home Cleveland -5.5 L by 21 -26.5
03/15 Home LA Clippers -7.0 W by 8 +1.0
03/16 Home Portland -13.0 W by 19 +6.0
03/19 Away Brooklyn -7.0 W by 13 +6.0
03/21 Away Orlando -2.5 L by 15 -17.5
03/22 Away Miami +3.0 W by 23 +26.0
03/24 Away Detroit -14.5 W by 13 -1.5
03/26 Home Okla City +1.0 L by 7 -6.0
03/28 Home Milwaukee +2.0 W by 7 +9.0
MIA -2.5 Open +3.5 High -2.5
Last -2.0 Low +3.5

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2015-2016 NBA season there have been 685 games where the closing line favored the away team by 0.5 to 2.5 points. In these games:

  • The team like Miami won the game 354 times (51.7%).
  • The team like New Orleans won the game 331 times (48.3%).
  • The team like New Orleans did better against the spread, going 348-331-6 (51.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.9 points.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2017-2018 NBA season there have been 6 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 4.5 points more than the opening line.

In these games, the team like Miami did better against the spread, going 5-1 (83.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 3.3 points.

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -1.5 -2.0 -2.0
Open +3.0 +2.5 +3.0
History
03/04 08:34 PM -- -2.0 --
03/04 08:29 PM -1.5 -- --
03/04 08:26 PM -1.5 -- --
03/04 08:25 PM -- -- -2.0
03/04 08:24 PM -- -2.5 --
03/04 08:12 PM -2.5 -- --
03/04 08:08 PM -2.5 -- --
03/04 08:04 PM -- -2.5 --
03/04 07:55 PM -- -- -2.5
03/04 07:50 PM -2.5 -- --
03/04 07:47 PM -2.5 -- --
03/04 07:38 PM -2.0 -- --
03/04 07:35 PM -- -- -2.0
03/04 07:08 PM -1.5 -- --
03/04 06:59 PM -1.5 -- --
03/04 06:45 PM -- -- -1.5
03/04 06:44 PM -- -2.0 --
03/04 06:38 PM -1.5 -- --
03/04 06:29 PM -1.5 -- --
03/04 06:25 PM -- -- -1.5
03/04 06:15 PM -- -- -1.5
03/04 06:14 PM -1.5 -- --
03/04 06:14 PM -- -1.5 --
03/04 06:08 PM -1.5 -- --
03/04 05:59 PM -1.5 -- --
03/04 05:44 PM +2.5 -- --
03/04 05:26 PM +2.5 -- --
03/04 05:17 PM +2.5 -- --
03/04 04:32 PM +2.5 -- --
03/04 04:11 PM +2.5 -- --
03/04 03:56 PM +3.0 -- --
03/04 03:29 PM +3.0 -- --
03/04 03:20 PM +3.0 -- --
03/04 03:04 PM -- +2.5 --
03/04 03:02 PM +3.0 -- --
03/04 02:29 PM +3.0 -- --
03/04 02:17 PM +3.0 -- --
03/04 02:02 PM +3.0 -- --
03/04 01:56 PM +3.0 -- --
03/04 01:54 PM -- +2.5 --
03/04 01:47 PM +3.0 -- --
03/04 01:45 PM -- -- +2.5
03/04 01:38 PM +3.0 -- --
03/04 01:35 PM -- -- +3.0
03/04 01:28 PM +2.5 -- --
03/04 12:53 PM +2.5 -- --
03/04 11:44 AM -- +2.0 --
03/04 11:44 AM +2.5 -- --
03/04 11:38 AM +2.5 -- --
03/04 11:35 AM -- -- +2.0
03/04 11:29 AM +2.5 -- --
03/04 10:59 AM +2.5 -- --
03/04 10:54 AM -- +2.5 --
03/04 10:45 AM -- -- +2.5
03/04 10:41 AM +2.5 -- --
03/04 10:38 AM +3.0 -- --
03/04 10:04 AM -- +3.0 --
03/04 09:55 AM -- -- +3.0
03/04 09:50 AM +3.0 -- --
03/04 09:47 AM +3.0 -- --
03/04 09:24 AM -- +2.5 --