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Miami at San Antonio
Wed Apr 21, 2021
8:30pm ET
San Antonio, TX
Miami at San Antonio: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Miami by 1.5, Total Points: 215
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MIA | adv | SA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 43-41-2 | 44-38-0 | |
| vs Division | 9-6-1 | 7-9-0 | |
| vs Conference | 29-25-2 | 29-22-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 8-2-0 | |
| Home | 17-25-0 | 22-19-0 | |
| Away | 26-16-2 | 22-19-0 |
Miami Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Home | Detroit | -9.5 | W by 1 | -8.5 |
| 10/27 | Away | Boston | +8.5 | L by 8 | +0.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Minnesota | +8.5 | L by 16 | -7.5 |
| 10/30 | Away | Milwaukee | +7.5 | L by 8 | -0.5 |
| 11/01 | Home | Brooklyn | -7.0 | L by 4 | -11.0 |
| 11/03 | Home | Washington | -8.5 | W by 7 | -1.5 |
| 11/06 | Home | LA Lakers | -1.5 | W by 1 | -0.5 |
| 11/08 | Away | Memphis | -1.5 | W by 6 | +4.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Atlanta | +7.5 | W by 8 | +15.5 |
| 11/12 | Away | San Antonio | -2.0 | W by 5 | +3.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Charlotte | -6.5 | W by 6 | -0.5 |
| 11/16 | Home | Brooklyn | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | Chicago | -1.5 | L by 5 | -6.5 |
| 11/20 | Away | Chicago | -1.5 | W by 18 | +16.5 |
| 11/22 | Away | Cleveland | +1.5 | W by 33 | +34.5 |
| 11/24 | Away | New York | +5.5 | L by 2 | +3.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Brooklyn | +7.5 | L by 15 | -7.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | Milwaukee | +4.0 | L by 7 | -3.0 |
| 11/30 | Home | Indiana | -4.0 | W by 10 | +6.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Indiana | -4.5 | L by 15 | -19.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Toronto | +4.0 | W by 9 | +13.0 |
| 12/08 | Home | Cleveland | +1.5 | L by 12 | -10.5 |
| 12/11 | Away | Charlotte | -4.5 | W by 2 | -2.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Charlotte | -7.5 | W by 11 | +3.5 |
| 12/14 | Home | Chicago | -3.5 | L by 8 | -11.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Chicago | -4.5 | W by 2 | -2.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | Minnesota | +1.5 | L by 4 | -2.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | Orlando | +5.5 | W by 9 | +14.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | Atlanta | -1.0 | W by 9 | +8.0 |
| 12/25 | Home | Philadelphia | -2.0 | W by 6 | +4.0 |
| 12/28 | Away | Golden State | +6.5 | W by 12 | +18.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Utah | -3.0 | L by 8 | -11.0 |
| 01/01 | Away | LA Clippers | +8.0 | L by 17 | -9.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | LA Lakers | +5.0 | W by 14 | +19.0 |
| 01/05 | Away | Phoenix | +2.5 | L by 16 | -13.5 |
| 01/08 | Home | Houston | -4.0 | W by 7 | +3.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Okla City | +4.5 | L by 8 | -3.5 |
| 01/12 | Home | Orlando | -1.0 | W by 3 | +2.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | Charlotte | -8.5 | W by 17 | +8.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | Brooklyn | -1.0 | W by 1 | 0.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Toronto | -3.0 | L by 24 | -27.0 |
| 01/19 | Home | Atlanta | -7.0 | L by 1 | -8.0 |
| 01/21 | Away | Orlando | +1.0 | L by 18 | -17.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Memphis | -11.5 | L by 9 | -20.5 |
| 01/25 | Home | Boston | +8.5 | L by 33 | -24.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | New York | +4.5 | L by 16 | -11.5 |
| 01/29 | Home | Phoenix | -2.0 | L by 13 | -15.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Sacramento | -2.5 | W by 9 | +6.5 |
| 02/02 | Away | Washington | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | LA Clippers | +5.0 | L by 8 | -3.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Orlando | -3.5 | W by 26 | +22.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | San Antonio | -8.0 | W by 12 | +4.0 |
| 02/11 | Home | Boston | +8.0 | L by 4 | +4.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Milwaukee | +7.0 | W by 26 | +33.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | Philadelphia | +2.5 | W by 5 | +7.5 |
| 02/23 | Away | New Orleans | +2.0 | W by 11 | +13.0 |
| 02/26 | Away | Sacramento | +7.5 | W by 11 | +18.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Portland | -6.5 | W by 10 | +3.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | Denver | +6.5 | L by 6 | +0.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Utah | -9.0 | W by 6 | -3.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Detroit | -11.0 | W by 8 | -3.0 |
| 03/07 | Away | Dallas | +4.5 | L by 6 | -1.5 |
| 03/08 | Away | Okla City | +8.5 | L by 7 | +1.5 |
| 03/10 | Home | Washington | -11.5 | L by 2 | -13.5 |
| 03/13 | Home | Denver | +3.5 | L by 12 | -8.5 |
| 03/15 | Away | Detroit | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 03/17 | Away | Detroit | -5.5 | W by 3 | -2.5 |
| 03/18 | Away | Philadelphia | +3.0 | L by 7 | -4.0 |
| 03/20 | Away | Cleveland | +3.0 | W by 3 | +6.0 |
| 03/22 | Home | New Orleans | -3.0 | L by 23 | -26.0 |
| 03/24 | Home | Cleveland | -3.5 | W by 37 | +33.5 |
| 03/26 | Home | Golden State | +5.0 | L by 21 | -16.0 |
| 03/29 | Home | Portland | -14.0 | W by 60 | +46.0 |
| 03/31 | Away | Washington | -12.0 | W by 12 | 0.0 |
| 04/02 | Home | New York | -2.5 | W by 10 | +7.5 |
| 04/04 | Home | Philadelphia | -3.0 | L by 4 | -7.0 |
| 04/05 | Away | Houston | -3.0 | W by 15 | +12.0 |
| 04/07 | Away | Indiana | +3.0 | L by 2 | +1.0 |
| 04/09 | Away | Atlanta | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 04/10 | Home | Dallas | +2.5 | L by 19 | -16.5 |
| 04/12 | Home | Toronto | -14.0 | W by 22 | +8.0 |
| 04/14 | Home | Toronto | -16.0 | W by 15 | -1.0 |
| 04/17 | Away | Philadelphia | +5.5 | L by 1 | +4.5 |
| 04/19 | Home | Chicago | -2.0 | W by 21 | +19.0 |
| 04/21 | Away | Boston | +14.5 | L by 20 | -5.5 |
| 04/24 | Away | Boston | +14.0 | W by 10 | +24.0 |
San Antonio Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Home | Dallas | +4.5 | L by 7 | -2.5 |
| 10/27 | Home | Houston | -3.5 | W by 4 | +0.5 |
| 10/29 | Away | LA Clippers | +9.5 | L by 40 | -30.5 |
| 10/31 | Away | Phoenix | +7.0 | W by 1 | +8.0 |
| 11/02 | Away | Phoenix | +10.5 | W by 11 | +21.5 |
| 11/05 | Home | Toronto | +3.5 | L by 7 | -3.5 |
| 11/06 | Away | Indiana | +8.5 | L by 41 | -32.5 |
| 11/08 | Away | New York | +9.0 | L by 21 | -12.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Minnesota | +7.5 | L by 7 | +0.5 |
| 11/12 | Home | Miami | +2.0 | L by 5 | -3.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Okla City | +10.0 | L by 36 | -26.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Sacramento | +8.5 | L by 9 | -0.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Memphis | +3.0 | L by 12 | -9.0 |
| 11/20 | Home | LA Clippers | +9.0 | L by 25 | -16.0 |
| 11/22 | Home | LA Clippers | +8.5 | L by 7 | +1.5 |
| 11/24 | Away | Golden State | +10.0 | L by 6 | +4.0 |
| 11/26 | Away | Denver | +10.5 | L by 12 | -1.5 |
| 11/30 | Home | Atlanta | +6.0 | L by 2 | +4.0 |
| 12/01 | Away | New Orleans | +13.0 | L by 15 | -2.0 |
| 12/06 | Away | Minnesota | +11.5 | L by 8 | +3.5 |
| 12/08 | Home | Chicago | +2.0 | L by 9 | -7.0 |
| 12/11 | Away | Houston | +9.0 | L by 11 | -2.0 |
| 12/13 | Home | LA Lakers | +3.5 | L by 3 | +0.5 |
| 12/15 | Home | LA Lakers | +4.0 | W by 14 | +18.0 |
| 12/17 | Home | New Orleans | +7.5 | L by 36 | -28.5 |
| 12/19 | Away | Milwaukee | +16.5 | L by 13 | +3.5 |
| 12/21 | Away | Chicago | +6.5 | L by 19 | -12.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | Dallas | +8.0 | L by 25 | -17.0 |
| 12/26 | Home | Utah | +2.5 | L by 12 | -9.5 |
| 12/28 | Away | Portland | +3.0 | W by 13 | +16.0 |
| 12/29 | Away | Portland | +4.5 | L by 6 | -1.5 |
| 12/31 | Home | Boston | +14.5 | L by 33 | -18.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Memphis | +11.0 | L by 8 | +3.0 |
| 01/04 | Home | Milwaukee | +11.0 | L by 4 | +7.0 |
| 01/07 | Away | Cleveland | +10.5 | L by 2 | +8.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Detroit | -3.0 | W by 22 | +19.0 |
| 01/12 | Home | Charlotte | -2.5 | W by 36 | +33.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Chicago | +6.5 | L by 6 | +0.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | Atlanta | +8.5 | L by 10 | -1.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Boston | +14.5 | L by 19 | -4.5 |
| 01/19 | Away | Charlotte | +5.0 | L by 4 | +1.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Washington | +2.0 | W by 4 | +6.0 |
| 01/22 | Away | Philadelphia | +13.5 | L by 10 | +3.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Okla City | +9.0 | L by 26 | -17.0 |
| 01/26 | Home | Portland | -5.0 | W by 16 | +11.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Minnesota | +10.5 | W by 1 | +11.5 |
| 01/29 | Home | Washington | -3.5 | L by 5 | -8.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Orlando | +6.0 | L by 10 | -4.0 |
| 02/02 | Home | New Orleans | +8.5 | L by 1 | +7.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Cleveland | +10.0 | L by 16 | -6.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | Miami | +8.0 | L by 12 | -4.0 |
| 02/08 | Away | Orlando | +10.5 | L by 16 | -5.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Brooklyn | +6.0 | L by 20 | -14.0 |
| 02/12 | Away | Toronto | +6.0 | W by 23 | +29.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | Dallas | +11.0 | L by 23 | -12.0 |
| 02/22 | Away | Sacramento | +10.5 | L by 5 | +5.5 |
| 02/23 | Away | LA Lakers | +11.0 | L by 5 | +6.0 |
| 02/25 | Away | Utah | +7.0 | L by 19 | -12.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Minnesota | +13.0 | L by 9 | +4.0 |
| 02/29 | Home | Okla City | +11.0 | W by 14 | +25.0 |
| 03/03 | Home | Indiana | +6.5 | W by 12 | +18.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Houston | +7.0 | L by 13 | -6.0 |
| 03/07 | Away | Sacramento | +12.0 | L by 2 | +10.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Golden State | +12.5 | W by 13 | +25.5 |
| 03/11 | Home | Golden State | +5.0 | L by 10 | -5.0 |
| 03/12 | Home | Houston | +3.0 | L by 2 | +1.0 |
| 03/15 | Home | Denver | +10.5 | L by 11 | -0.5 |
| 03/17 | Home | Brooklyn | -2.0 | W by 7 | +5.0 |
| 03/19 | Home | Dallas | +9.0 | L by 6 | +3.0 |
| 03/22 | Home | Memphis | -6.5 | L by 2 | -8.5 |
| 03/23 | Home | Phoenix | +10.0 | L by 25 | -15.0 |
| 03/25 | Home | Phoenix | +12.0 | W by 2 | +14.0 |
| 03/27 | Away | Utah | +4.0 | W by 7 | +11.0 |
| 03/29 | Home | New York | +8.0 | W by 4 | +12.0 |
| 03/31 | Home | Golden State | +10.5 | L by 4 | +6.5 |
| 04/02 | Away | Denver | +15.5 | L by 5 | +10.5 |
| 04/05 | Away | New Orleans | +11.5 | W by 2 | +13.5 |
| 04/07 | Home | Philadelphia | +3.5 | L by 7 | -3.5 |
| 04/09 | Away | Memphis | -5.5 | W by 15 | +9.5 |
| 04/10 | Away | Okla City | +17.0 | L by 38 | -21.0 |
| 04/12 | Home | Denver | +11.5 | W by 1 | +12.5 |
| 04/14 | Home | Detroit | -5.0 | W by 28 | +23.0 |
| MIA -1.5 | Open | +2.5 | High | -2.0 |
| Last | -2.0 | Low | +2.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NBA season there have been 727 games where the closing line favored the away team by 0.5 to 2.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Miami won the game 381 times (52.4%).
- The team like San Antonio won the game 346 times (47.6%).
- The team like San Antonio did better against the spread, going 365-354-8 (50.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NBA season there have been 159 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Miami did better against the spread, going 86-71-2 (54.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 2.0 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -1.5 | -1.5 | -1.5 |
| Open | +1.0 | (Pick) | +1.0 |
| History | |||
| 04/21 08:37 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 08:28 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 08:10 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 07:52 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 07:37 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 07:13 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 07:02 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 06:46 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 06:07 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 05:59 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 05:54 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 04/21 05:45 PM | -- | -- | -1.5 |
| 04/21 05:43 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 05:37 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 05:10 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 05:04 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 04/21 05:01 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 04:59 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 04:55 PM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 04/21 04:47 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 04:38 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 04:01 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 02:28 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 02:01 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 01:37 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 01:10 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 12:43 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 11:40 AM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 11:37 AM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 11:29 AM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 11:07 AM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 10:52 AM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 10:31 AM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 10:16 AM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 10:04 AM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
| 04/21 09:55 AM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 09:55 AM | -- | -- | +1.0 |
| 04/21 09:34 AM | -- | (Pick) | -- |
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