NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHA MIL
Points 106.9 119.3
Total Points   226.1
Points From 2-Pointers 55.7 57.3
Points From 3-Pointers 36.5 44.8
Points From Free Throws 14.6 17.2
Shooting CHA MIL
Field Goals Made 40.0 43.6
Field Goals Attempted 88.5 86.2
Field Goal % 45.2% 50.5%
2 Pointers Made 27.8 28.6
2 Pointers Attempted 53.5 47.0
2 Point Shooting % 52.0% 60.9%
3 Pointers Made 12.2 14.9
3 Pointers Attempted 35.0 39.2
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 38.1%
Free Throws Made 14.6 17.2
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 22.1
Free Throw % 78.9% 77.7%
Ball Control CHA MIL
Rebounds 44.3 51.1
Rebounds - Defensive 34.9 40.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 10.3
Turnovers 11.2 11.9
Blocked Shots 3.6 4.2
Steals 6.0 5.9
Fouls 16.5 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHA MIL
Total Possessions 100.9
Effective Scoring Chances 99.1 99.3
% of Possessions with CHA MIL
2 Point Attempt 47.8% 41.7%
3 Point Attempt 31.2% 34.8%
Player Fouled 16.2% 16.4%
Turnover 11.1% 11.8%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHA MIL
Shot Blocked 5.0% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 18.6% 22.7%