NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHA CHI
Points 107.6 115.8
Total Points   223.4
Points From 2-Pointers 50.8 63.2
Points From 3-Pointers 41.5 36.8
Points From Free Throws 15.2 15.8
Shooting CHA CHI
Field Goals Made 39.3 43.9
Field Goals Attempted 84.9 88.7
Field Goal % 46.3% 49.5%
2 Pointers Made 25.4 31.6
2 Pointers Attempted 46.4 55.2
2 Point Shooting % 54.8% 57.2%
3 Pointers Made 13.8 12.3
3 Pointers Attempted 38.5 33.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.9% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 15.2 15.8
Free Throws Attempted 19.3 20.0
Free Throw % 78.9% 79.2%
Ball Control CHA CHI
Rebounds 44.0 50.3
Rebounds - Defensive 34.6 38.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 12.2
Turnovers 12.8 11.1
Blocked Shots 4.0 4.4
Steals 5.7 6.8
Fouls 16.0 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHA CHI
Total Possessions 99.5
Effective Scoring Chances 96.0 100.5
% of Possessions with CHA CHI
2 Point Attempt 41.9% 48.7%
3 Point Attempt 34.8% 29.5%
Player Fouled 16.4% 16.1%
Turnover 12.9% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHA CHI
Shot Blocked 5.0% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 19.7% 26.0%