NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHA CHI
Points 106.5 115.2
Total Points   221.7
Points From 2-Pointers 51.5 61.3
Points From 3-Pointers 40.3 37.5
Points From Free Throws 14.7 16.4
Shooting CHA CHI
Field Goals Made 39.2 43.2
Field Goals Attempted 86.2 87.9
Field Goal % 45.4% 49.1%
2 Pointers Made 25.7 30.6
2 Pointers Attempted 47.6 53.7
2 Point Shooting % 54.1% 57.1%
3 Pointers Made 13.4 12.5
3 Pointers Attempted 38.6 34.2
3 Point Shooting % 34.7% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 14.7 16.4
Free Throws Attempted 18.8 20.5
Free Throw % 78.3% 80.1%
Ball Control CHA CHI
Rebounds 45.6 50.0
Rebounds - Defensive 35.1 38.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 11.6
Turnovers 12.9 11.2
Blocked Shots 4.0 4.6
Steals 5.7 6.6
Fouls 16.5 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHA CHI
Total Possessions 99.6
Effective Scoring Chances 97.2 100.0
% of Possessions with CHA CHI
2 Point Attempt 42.5% 47.6%
3 Point Attempt 34.5% 30.3%
Player Fouled 15.9% 16.6%
Turnover 13.0% 11.3%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHA CHI
Shot Blocked 5.3% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 21.5% 24.9%