NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHA BOS
Points 101.6 121.7
Total Points   223.3
Points From 2-Pointers 51.8 54.5
Points From 3-Pointers 38.1 52.5
Points From Free Throws 11.7 14.7
Shooting CHA BOS
Field Goals Made 38.6 44.8
Field Goals Attempted 90.8 89.2
Field Goal % 42.5% 50.2%
2 Pointers Made 25.9 27.3
2 Pointers Attempted 54.0 45.1
2 Point Shooting % 48.0% 60.5%
3 Pointers Made 12.7 17.5
3 Pointers Attempted 36.8 44.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 39.6%
Free Throws Made 11.7 14.7
Free Throws Attempted 14.8 18.6
Free Throw % 78.9% 79.1%
Ball Control CHA BOS
Rebounds 45.1 54.4
Rebounds - Defensive 34.4 42.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 12.0
Turnovers 11.2 10.8
Blocked Shots 3.3 5.8
Steals 5.1 5.9
Fouls 14.5 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHA BOS
Total Possessions 99.2
Effective Scoring Chances 98.7 100.4
% of Possessions with CHA BOS
2 Point Attempt 48.1% 40.1%
3 Point Attempt 32.8% 39.2%
Player Fouled 13.7% 14.6%
Turnover 11.3% 10.9%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 5.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHA BOS
Shot Blocked 6.6% 3.7%
Offensive Rebound 20.2% 26.0%