NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHA ATL
Points 114.9 119.4
Total Points   234.3
Points From 2-Pointers 59.3 58.9
Points From 3-Pointers 40.6 43.3
Points From Free Throws 15.0 17.2
Shooting CHA ATL
Field Goals Made 43.2 43.9
Field Goals Attempted 87.2 90.1
Field Goal % 49.5% 48.7%
2 Pointers Made 29.6 29.4
2 Pointers Attempted 51.6 51.5
2 Point Shooting % 57.5% 57.2%
3 Pointers Made 13.5 14.4
3 Pointers Attempted 35.7 38.6
3 Point Shooting % 38.0% 37.4%
Free Throws Made 15.0 17.2
Free Throws Attempted 19.1 21.9
Free Throw % 78.9% 78.3%
Ball Control CHA ATL
Rebounds 44.4 50.1
Rebounds - Defensive 34.9 36.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 13.5
Turnovers 13.0 12.3
Blocked Shots 4.6 4.0
Steals 6.4 6.4
Fouls 16.4 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHA ATL
Total Possessions 101.9
Effective Scoring Chances 98.4 103.1
% of Possessions with CHA ATL
2 Point Attempt 45.7% 43.9%
3 Point Attempt 31.6% 32.9%
Player Fouled 15.8% 16.0%
Turnover 12.7% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHA ATL
Shot Blocked 4.5% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 20.5% 27.9%