NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHA SAC
Points 107.3 118.8
Total Points   226.1
Points From 2-Pointers 54.6 59.9
Points From 3-Pointers 37.3 43.7
Points From Free Throws 15.3 15.3
Shooting CHA SAC
Field Goals Made 39.7 44.5
Field Goals Attempted 86.1 88.5
Field Goal % 46.2% 50.3%
2 Pointers Made 27.3 29.9
2 Pointers Attempted 52.8 49.0
2 Point Shooting % 51.7% 61.1%
3 Pointers Made 12.4 14.6
3 Pointers Attempted 33.3 39.5
3 Point Shooting % 37.3% 36.8%
Free Throws Made 15.3 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 19.6 20.4
Free Throw % 78.3% 74.8%
Ball Control CHA SAC
Rebounds 44.2 50.9
Rebounds - Defensive 35.0 39.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 11.7
Turnovers 13.2 12.3
Blocked Shots 3.5 4.2
Steals 6.4 6.7
Fouls 16.3 16.9

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHA SAC
Total Possessions 101.5
Effective Scoring Chances 97.5 100.8
% of Possessions with CHA SAC
2 Point Attempt 47.0% 42.7%
3 Point Attempt 29.7% 34.5%
Player Fouled 16.6% 16.0%
Turnover 13.0% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHA SAC
Shot Blocked 4.8% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 19.0% 25.0%