NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHA NY
Points 102.1 114.3
Total Points   216.5
Points From 2-Pointers 53.7 55.7
Points From 3-Pointers 35.3 42.5
Points From Free Throws 13.2 16.1
Shooting CHA NY
Field Goals Made 38.6 42.0
Field Goals Attempted 85.7 87.4
Field Goal % 45.1% 48.1%
2 Pointers Made 26.9 27.8
2 Pointers Attempted 51.9 49.0
2 Point Shooting % 51.7% 56.9%
3 Pointers Made 11.8 14.2
3 Pointers Attempted 33.8 38.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 36.9%
Free Throws Made 13.2 16.1
Free Throws Attempted 16.8 20.7
Free Throw % 78.3% 78.1%
Ball Control CHA NY
Rebounds 43.1 53.1
Rebounds - Defensive 33.0 38.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 14.6
Turnovers 12.4 12.3
Blocked Shots 4.2 4.3
Steals 5.8 6.4
Fouls 15.9 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHA NY
Total Possessions 97.8
Effective Scoring Chances 95.5 100.1
% of Possessions with CHA NY
2 Point Attempt 47.4% 42.9%
3 Point Attempt 30.8% 33.7%
Player Fouled 15.3% 16.3%
Turnover 12.7% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHA NY
Shot Blocked 5.0% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 20.8% 30.7%