NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHA NY
Points 104.6 115.8
Total Points   220.4
Points From 2-Pointers 54.3 57.3
Points From 3-Pointers 36.4 42.2
Points From Free Throws 13.8 16.3
Shooting CHA NY
Field Goals Made 39.3 42.7
Field Goals Attempted 84.6 87.8
Field Goal % 46.5% 48.6%
2 Pointers Made 27.1 28.7
2 Pointers Attempted 50.3 50.7
2 Point Shooting % 54.0% 56.5%
3 Pointers Made 12.1 14.1
3 Pointers Attempted 34.3 37.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 37.9%
Free Throws Made 13.8 16.3
Free Throws Attempted 17.6 20.9
Free Throw % 78.9% 78.1%
Ball Control CHA NY
Rebounds 42.2 52.0
Rebounds - Defensive 32.6 37.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 14.7
Turnovers 12.5 11.9
Blocked Shots 4.2 4.0
Steals 5.6 6.6
Fouls 16.0 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHA NY
Total Possessions 97.7
Effective Scoring Chances 94.9 100.6
% of Possessions with CHA NY
2 Point Attempt 46.1% 44.5%
3 Point Attempt 31.5% 32.5%
Player Fouled 15.7% 16.3%
Turnover 12.8% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHA NY
Shot Blocked 4.6% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 20.6% 31.2%