NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHA ORL
Points 101.4 111.1
Total Points   212.4
Points From 2-Pointers 53.2 58.6
Points From 3-Pointers 32.9 34.9
Points From Free Throws 15.3 17.5
Shooting CHA ORL
Field Goals Made 37.6 41.0
Field Goals Attempted 81.9 83.2
Field Goal % 45.8% 49.3%
2 Pointers Made 26.6 29.3
2 Pointers Attempted 50.3 50.6
2 Point Shooting % 52.8% 57.9%
3 Pointers Made 11.0 11.6
3 Pointers Attempted 31.6 32.6
3 Point Shooting % 34.7% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 15.3 17.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.4 23.2
Free Throw % 78.9% 75.6%
Ball Control CHA ORL
Rebounds 41.8 49.6
Rebounds - Defensive 33.3 37.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 11.9
Turnovers 14.3 13.6
Blocked Shots 3.9 4.6
Steals 7.0 7.3
Fouls 17.8 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHA ORL
Total Possessions 98.9
Effective Scoring Chances 93.1 97.3
% of Possessions with CHA ORL
2 Point Attempt 46.1% 45.0%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 29.0%
Player Fouled 17.3% 18.0%
Turnover 14.5% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHA ORL
Shot Blocked 5.6% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 18.4% 26.4%