NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHA ORL
Points 101.5 111.8
Total Points   213.3
Points From 2-Pointers 53.2 59.2
Points From 3-Pointers 33.1 35.2
Points From Free Throws 15.2 17.4
Shooting CHA ORL
Field Goals Made 37.6 41.3
Field Goals Attempted 82.0 83.3
Field Goal % 45.9% 49.6%
2 Pointers Made 26.6 29.6
2 Pointers Attempted 50.4 50.9
2 Point Shooting % 52.8% 58.2%
3 Pointers Made 11.0 11.7
3 Pointers Attempted 31.6 32.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 15.2 17.4
Free Throws Attempted 19.3 23.0
Free Throw % 78.9% 75.9%
Ball Control CHA ORL
Rebounds 41.4 49.6
Rebounds - Defensive 33.0 37.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 11.8
Turnovers 14.3 13.6
Blocked Shots 3.8 4.6
Steals 6.9 7.3
Fouls 17.8 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHA ORL
Total Possessions 99.0
Effective Scoring Chances 93.1 97.3
% of Possessions with CHA ORL
2 Point Attempt 46.1% 45.3%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 28.8%
Player Fouled 17.2% 18.0%
Turnover 14.4% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHA ORL
Shot Blocked 5.5% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 18.1% 26.4%