NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHA ORL
Points 114.8 110.4
Total Points   225.2
Points From 2-Pointers 49.2 56.7
Points From 3-Pointers 46.0 34.0
Points From Free Throws 19.6 19.7
Shooting CHA ORL
Field Goals Made 39.9 39.7
Field Goals Attempted 87.2 87.7
Field Goal % 45.8% 45.2%
2 Pointers Made 24.6 28.3
2 Pointers Attempted 45.0 54.1
2 Point Shooting % 54.7% 52.4%
3 Pointers Made 15.3 11.3
3 Pointers Attempted 42.2 33.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.3% 33.7%
Free Throws Made 19.6 19.7
Free Throws Attempted 23.6 24.9
Free Throw % 82.8% 79.3%
Ball Control CHA ORL
Rebounds 53.0 46.5
Rebounds - Defensive 39.0 35.1
Rebounds - Offensive 14.1 11.4
Turnovers 14.0 11.2
Blocked Shots 5.2 4.3
Steals 6.2 7.4
Fouls 19.4 18.8

Playing Style Advantage: Orlando

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHA ORL
Total Possessions 101.7
Effective Scoring Chances 101.8 101.9
% of Possessions with CHA ORL
2 Point Attempt 38.3% 46.9%
3 Point Attempt 35.9% 29.2%
Player Fouled 18.5% 19.1%
Turnover 13.8% 11.0%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHA ORL
Shot Blocked 5.0% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 28.6% 22.7%