NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHA BK
Points 106.3 112.0
Total Points   218.3
Points From 2-Pointers 54.5 54.8
Points From 3-Pointers 37.4 41.7
Points From Free Throws 14.4 15.4
Shooting CHA BK
Field Goals Made 39.7 41.3
Field Goals Attempted 86.6 87.7
Field Goal % 45.9% 47.1%
2 Pointers Made 27.3 27.4
2 Pointers Attempted 52.0 49.6
2 Point Shooting % 52.4% 55.3%
3 Pointers Made 12.5 13.9
3 Pointers Attempted 34.6 38.1
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 14.4 15.4
Free Throws Attempted 18.3 20.3
Free Throw % 78.9% 76.0%
Ball Control CHA BK
Rebounds 45.7 51.5
Rebounds - Defensive 36.0 38.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 12.8
Turnovers 12.0 12.1
Blocked Shots 4.2 4.6
Steals 5.8 5.9
Fouls 15.8 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHA BK
Total Possessions 99.2
Effective Scoring Chances 97.0 99.9
% of Possessions with CHA BK
2 Point Attempt 46.9% 43.6%
3 Point Attempt 31.2% 33.5%
Player Fouled 16.0% 15.9%
Turnover 12.1% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHA BK
Shot Blocked 5.3% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 20.1% 26.2%