NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHA BK
Points 105.3 112.6
Total Points   217.9
Points From 2-Pointers 55.5 54.8
Points From 3-Pointers 35.4 42.3
Points From Free Throws 14.4 15.5
Shooting CHA BK
Field Goals Made 39.6 41.5
Field Goals Attempted 86.9 87.5
Field Goal % 45.5% 47.4%
2 Pointers Made 27.7 27.4
2 Pointers Attempted 53.7 48.8
2 Point Shooting % 51.7% 56.1%
3 Pointers Made 11.8 14.1
3 Pointers Attempted 33.2 38.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 14.4 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 18.4 20.3
Free Throw % 78.3% 76.5%
Ball Control CHA BK
Rebounds 46.4 51.1
Rebounds - Defensive 36.0 38.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 12.4
Turnovers 12.4 12.2
Blocked Shots 3.9 4.7
Steals 5.7 6.2
Fouls 15.8 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHA BK
Total Possessions 99.5
Effective Scoring Chances 97.5 99.7
% of Possessions with CHA BK
2 Point Attempt 48.0% 43.0%
3 Point Attempt 29.7% 34.1%
Player Fouled 15.8% 15.9%
Turnover 12.4% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHA BK
Shot Blocked 5.4% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 21.1% 25.6%