NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHA IND
Points 110.9 124.4
Total Points   235.2
Points From 2-Pointers 63.1 69.1
Points From 3-Pointers 30.2 40.0
Points From Free Throws 17.6 15.3
Shooting CHA IND
Field Goals Made 41.6 47.9
Field Goals Attempted 87.1 90.3
Field Goal % 47.8% 53.0%
2 Pointers Made 31.6 34.5
2 Pointers Attempted 58.4 54.8
2 Point Shooting % 54.1% 63.0%
3 Pointers Made 10.1 13.3
3 Pointers Attempted 28.7 35.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 37.6%
Free Throws Made 17.6 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 22.3 19.7
Free Throw % 78.9% 77.6%
Ball Control CHA IND
Rebounds 43.7 48.4
Rebounds - Defensive 33.5 37.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 11.1
Turnovers 12.8 11.6
Blocked Shots 4.3 5.4
Steals 5.5 6.4
Fouls 16.0 18.1

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHA IND
Total Possessions 102.3
Effective Scoring Chances 99.8 101.7
% of Possessions with CHA IND
2 Point Attempt 50.9% 47.6%
3 Point Attempt 25.0% 30.8%
Player Fouled 17.7% 15.6%
Turnover 12.5% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 5.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHA IND
Shot Blocked 6.1% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 21.5% 24.8%