NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHA IND
Points 111.2 124.5
Total Points   235.7
Points From 2-Pointers 63.4 69.1
Points From 3-Pointers 29.9 40.0
Points From Free Throws 17.8 15.5
Shooting CHA IND
Field Goals Made 41.7 47.9
Field Goals Attempted 87.1 90.4
Field Goal % 47.8% 53.0%
2 Pointers Made 31.7 34.5
2 Pointers Attempted 58.5 55.0
2 Point Shooting % 54.2% 62.8%
3 Pointers Made 10.0 13.3
3 Pointers Attempted 28.7 35.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 37.7%
Free Throws Made 17.8 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 22.6 19.8
Free Throw % 78.9% 78.0%
Ball Control CHA IND
Rebounds 43.9 48.3
Rebounds - Defensive 33.5 37.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 11.1
Turnovers 12.9 11.7
Blocked Shots 4.3 5.4
Steals 5.5 6.5
Fouls 16.0 18.3

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHA IND
Total Possessions 102.5
Effective Scoring Chances 100.0 101.9
% of Possessions with CHA IND
2 Point Attempt 50.8% 47.7%
3 Point Attempt 24.9% 30.7%
Player Fouled 17.9% 15.7%
Turnover 12.5% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 5.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHA IND
Shot Blocked 6.0% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 21.8% 24.8%