NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHA DET
Points 111.8 112.1
Total Points   223.9
Points From 2-Pointers 60.6 60.0
Points From 3-Pointers 34.9 35.8
Points From Free Throws 16.3 16.3
Shooting CHA DET
Field Goals Made 41.9 41.9
Field Goals Attempted 86.1 86.7
Field Goal % 48.7% 48.4%
2 Pointers Made 30.3 30.0
2 Pointers Attempted 53.7 53.3
2 Point Shooting % 56.4% 56.3%
3 Pointers Made 11.6 11.9
3 Pointers Attempted 32.4 33.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.9% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 16.3 16.3
Free Throws Attempted 20.7 20.8
Free Throw % 78.9% 78.3%
Ball Control CHA DET
Rebounds 44.1 49.0
Rebounds - Defensive 35.3 37.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 11.5
Turnovers 11.9 13.7
Blocked Shots 5.0 4.1
Steals 7.4 5.9
Fouls 15.1 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHA DET
Total Possessions 101.1
Effective Scoring Chances 98.0 98.9
% of Possessions with CHA DET
2 Point Attempt 48.1% 46.5%
3 Point Attempt 29.0% 29.1%
Player Fouled 17.1% 14.9%
Turnover 11.8% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHA DET
Shot Blocked 4.8% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 19.1% 24.6%