NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHA DET
Points 112.0 112.3
Total Points   224.3
Points From 2-Pointers 60.8 60.2
Points From 3-Pointers 34.9 35.8
Points From Free Throws 16.4 16.3
Shooting CHA DET
Field Goals Made 42.0 42.0
Field Goals Attempted 86.0 86.6
Field Goal % 48.8% 48.5%
2 Pointers Made 30.4 30.1
2 Pointers Attempted 53.7 53.3
2 Point Shooting % 56.5% 56.5%
3 Pointers Made 11.6 11.9
3 Pointers Attempted 32.3 33.3
3 Point Shooting % 36.0% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 16.4 16.3
Free Throws Attempted 20.7 20.8
Free Throw % 78.9% 78.3%
Ball Control CHA DET
Rebounds 44.0 48.8
Rebounds - Defensive 35.2 37.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 11.5
Turnovers 11.9 13.7
Blocked Shots 5.0 4.1
Steals 7.4 5.9
Fouls 15.1 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHA DET
Total Possessions 101.1
Effective Scoring Chances 98.0 98.8
% of Possessions with CHA DET
2 Point Attempt 48.2% 46.6%
3 Point Attempt 29.0% 29.0%
Player Fouled 17.1% 14.9%
Turnover 11.8% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHA DET
Shot Blocked 4.8% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 19.1% 24.6%