NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHA PHO
Points 104.7 117.9
Total Points   222.5
Points From 2-Pointers 52.7 60.8
Points From 3-Pointers 37.9 39.7
Points From Free Throws 14.0 17.4
Shooting CHA PHO
Field Goals Made 39.0 43.6
Field Goals Attempted 88.7 84.7
Field Goal % 44.0% 51.5%
2 Pointers Made 26.4 30.4
2 Pointers Attempted 52.9 50.7
2 Point Shooting % 49.8% 60.0%
3 Pointers Made 12.6 13.2
3 Pointers Attempted 35.8 34.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 38.9%
Free Throws Made 14.0 17.4
Free Throws Attempted 17.8 21.5
Free Throw % 78.9% 80.7%
Ball Control CHA PHO
Rebounds 42.1 52.2
Rebounds - Defensive 31.8 40.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 11.3
Turnovers 11.8 13.8
Blocked Shots 3.9 5.1
Steals 7.1 6.4
Fouls 16.6 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHA PHO
Total Possessions 100.2
Effective Scoring Chances 98.7 97.7
% of Possessions with CHA PHO
2 Point Attempt 47.0% 44.9%
3 Point Attempt 31.8% 30.0%
Player Fouled 15.2% 16.6%
Turnover 11.7% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHA PHO
Shot Blocked 6.1% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 20.1% 26.2%