NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHA OKC
Points 103.9 122.1
Total Points   226.0
Points From 2-Pointers 49.7 63.7
Points From 3-Pointers 38.8 41.6
Points From Free Throws 15.4 16.7
Shooting CHA OKC
Field Goals Made 37.8 45.7
Field Goals Attempted 86.6 87.4
Field Goal % 43.6% 52.3%
2 Pointers Made 24.8 31.9
2 Pointers Attempted 50.1 52.3
2 Point Shooting % 49.6% 60.9%
3 Pointers Made 12.9 13.9
3 Pointers Attempted 36.5 35.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 39.6%
Free Throws Made 15.4 16.7
Free Throws Attempted 19.6 20.3
Free Throw % 78.9% 82.2%
Ball Control CHA OKC
Rebounds 44.5 49.2
Rebounds - Defensive 33.6 39.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 9.7
Turnovers 14.4 11.9
Blocked Shots 4.2 5.9
Steals 6.1 7.2
Fouls 16.5 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHA OKC
Total Possessions 101.3
Effective Scoring Chances 97.7 99.2
% of Possessions with CHA OKC
2 Point Attempt 43.8% 46.4%
3 Point Attempt 31.9% 31.1%
Player Fouled 15.6% 16.3%
Turnover 14.2% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHA OKC
Shot Blocked 6.8% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 21.6% 22.4%