NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHA MIN
Points 99.3 115.3
Total Points   214.6
Points From 2-Pointers 50.4 57.9
Points From 3-Pointers 33.5 40.2
Points From Free Throws 15.4 17.1
Shooting CHA MIN
Field Goals Made 36.4 42.4
Field Goals Attempted 84.4 83.5
Field Goal % 43.1% 50.7%
2 Pointers Made 25.2 29.0
2 Pointers Attempted 52.6 49.4
2 Point Shooting % 47.9% 58.6%
3 Pointers Made 11.2 13.4
3 Pointers Attempted 31.8 34.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 39.3%
Free Throws Made 15.4 17.1
Free Throws Attempted 19.5 22.1
Free Throw % 78.9% 77.6%
Ball Control CHA MIN
Rebounds 42.7 50.7
Rebounds - Defensive 33.1 40.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 10.6
Turnovers 13.4 13.1
Blocked Shots 3.6 5.3
Steals 6.5 6.9
Fouls 17.5 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHA MIN
Total Possessions 99.3
Effective Scoring Chances 95.5 96.8
% of Possessions with CHA MIN
2 Point Attempt 47.4% 44.4%
3 Point Attempt 28.7% 30.6%
Player Fouled 16.4% 17.6%
Turnover 13.5% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHA MIN
Shot Blocked 6.4% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 19.4% 24.4%