NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHA WAS
Points 113.5 115.3
Total Points   228.8
Points From 2-Pointers 64.7 61.6
Points From 3-Pointers 33.0 39.0
Points From Free Throws 15.9 14.8
Shooting CHA WAS
Field Goals Made 43.3 43.8
Field Goals Attempted 90.0 89.3
Field Goal % 48.2% 49.0%
2 Pointers Made 32.3 30.8
2 Pointers Attempted 57.8 52.7
2 Point Shooting % 55.9% 58.4%
3 Pointers Made 11.0 13.0
3 Pointers Attempted 32.1 36.6
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 15.9 14.8
Free Throws Attempted 20.3 19.4
Free Throw % 78.3% 76.3%
Ball Control CHA WAS
Rebounds 48.9 47.4
Rebounds - Defensive 37.4 37.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 10.3
Turnovers 12.9 13.1
Blocked Shots 5.0 4.7
Steals 6.6 6.5
Fouls 15.4 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHA WAS
Total Possessions 103.2
Effective Scoring Chances 101.8 100.4
% of Possessions with CHA WAS
2 Point Attempt 49.6% 45.6%
3 Point Attempt 27.5% 31.7%
Player Fouled 16.0% 15.0%
Turnover 12.5% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHA WAS
Shot Blocked 5.4% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 23.7% 21.6%