NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHA WAS
Points 114.9 115.9
Total Points   230.8
Points From 2-Pointers 64.4 61.8
Points From 3-Pointers 34.0 39.3
Points From Free Throws 16.5 14.8
Shooting CHA WAS
Field Goals Made 43.5 44.0
Field Goals Attempted 89.0 89.4
Field Goal % 48.9% 49.2%
2 Pointers Made 32.2 30.9
2 Pointers Attempted 56.4 52.6
2 Point Shooting % 57.2% 58.8%
3 Pointers Made 11.3 13.1
3 Pointers Attempted 32.6 36.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.7% 35.6%
Free Throws Made 16.5 14.8
Free Throws Attempted 20.9 19.2
Free Throw % 78.9% 76.8%
Ball Control CHA WAS
Rebounds 48.1 46.9
Rebounds - Defensive 37.3 36.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 10.0
Turnovers 12.7 13.0
Blocked Shots 5.2 4.4
Steals 6.8 6.4
Fouls 15.6 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHA WAS
Total Possessions 103.2
Effective Scoring Chances 101.2 100.3
% of Possessions with CHA WAS
2 Point Attempt 48.7% 45.6%
3 Point Attempt 28.2% 31.9%
Player Fouled 16.5% 15.1%
Turnover 12.3% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHA WAS
Shot Blocked 5.0% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 22.5% 21.2%