NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTA CLE
Points 113.4 120.6
Total Points   234.0
Points From 2-Pointers 57.0 57.4
Points From 3-Pointers 38.0 47.2
Points From Free Throws 18.3 16.0
Shooting UTA CLE
Field Goals Made 41.2 44.5
Field Goals Attempted 87.3 89.8
Field Goal % 47.2% 49.5%
2 Pointers Made 28.5 28.7
2 Pointers Attempted 52.6 50.4
2 Point Shooting % 54.1% 57.0%
3 Pointers Made 12.7 15.7
3 Pointers Attempted 34.7 39.4
3 Point Shooting % 36.6% 39.9%
Free Throws Made 18.3 16.0
Free Throws Attempted 21.9 21.0
Free Throw % 83.7% 76.1%
Ball Control UTA CLE
Rebounds 49.0 46.1
Rebounds - Defensive 36.4 34.8
Rebounds - Offensive 12.6 11.3
Turnovers 13.9 11.0
Blocked Shots 5.2 5.6
Steals 6.0 7.6
Fouls 16.7 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTA CLE
Total Possessions 101.4
Effective Scoring Chances 100.2 101.6
% of Possessions with UTA CLE
2 Point Attempt 45.3% 43.9%
3 Point Attempt 29.8% 34.4%
Player Fouled 15.5% 16.5%
Turnover 13.7% 10.9%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTA CLE
Shot Blocked 6.3% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 26.6% 23.7%