NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTA LAL
Points 117.6 125.0
Total Points   242.6
Points From 2-Pointers 59.6 65.1
Points From 3-Pointers 41.9 41.2
Points From Free Throws 16.1 18.6
Shooting UTA LAL
Field Goals Made 43.8 46.3
Field Goals Attempted 93.8 88.6
Field Goal % 46.7% 52.3%
2 Pointers Made 29.8 32.6
2 Pointers Attempted 55.3 55.3
2 Point Shooting % 53.9% 58.9%
3 Pointers Made 14.0 13.7
3 Pointers Attempted 38.4 33.3
3 Point Shooting % 36.4% 41.3%
Free Throws Made 16.1 18.6
Free Throws Attempted 19.2 24.0
Free Throw % 83.7% 77.8%
Ball Control UTA LAL
Rebounds 49.6 46.2
Rebounds - Defensive 35.7 37.0
Rebounds - Offensive 13.9 9.2
Turnovers 13.3 11.4
Blocked Shots 5.1 6.3
Steals 6.3 7.3
Fouls 17.6 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTA LAL
Total Possessions 104.2
Effective Scoring Chances 104.8 102.0
% of Possessions with UTA LAL
2 Point Attempt 45.9% 47.9%
3 Point Attempt 31.9% 28.8%
Player Fouled 13.5% 16.9%
Turnover 12.8% 10.9%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTA LAL
Shot Blocked 7.3% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 27.3% 20.5%