NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTA LAL
Points 117.8 125.2
Total Points   242.9
Points From 2-Pointers 59.6 65.3
Points From 3-Pointers 42.0 41.0
Points From Free Throws 16.2 18.9
Shooting UTA LAL
Field Goals Made 43.8 46.3
Field Goals Attempted 93.7 88.9
Field Goal % 46.8% 52.1%
2 Pointers Made 29.8 32.6
2 Pointers Attempted 55.4 55.7
2 Point Shooting % 53.8% 58.6%
3 Pointers Made 14.0 13.7
3 Pointers Attempted 38.2 33.2
3 Point Shooting % 36.6% 41.2%
Free Throws Made 16.2 18.9
Free Throws Attempted 19.3 24.3
Free Throw % 83.7% 77.6%
Ball Control UTA LAL
Rebounds 49.7 46.3
Rebounds - Defensive 35.8 36.9
Rebounds - Offensive 13.9 9.4
Turnovers 13.5 11.3
Blocked Shots 5.1 6.4
Steals 6.3 7.3
Fouls 17.6 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTA LAL
Total Possessions 104.4
Effective Scoring Chances 104.8 102.5
% of Possessions with UTA LAL
2 Point Attempt 45.9% 48.1%
3 Point Attempt 31.6% 28.6%
Player Fouled 13.4% 16.9%
Turnover 12.9% 10.8%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTA LAL
Shot Blocked 7.3% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 27.3% 20.8%