NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTA DEN
Points 112.4 123.5
Total Points   235.8
Points From 2-Pointers 58.9 67.5
Points From 3-Pointers 33.5 40.3
Points From Free Throws 20.0 15.7
Shooting UTA DEN
Field Goals Made 40.6 47.2
Field Goals Attempted 89.1 92.0
Field Goal % 45.6% 51.3%
2 Pointers Made 29.4 33.8
2 Pointers Attempted 56.5 58.6
2 Point Shooting % 52.2% 57.7%
3 Pointers Made 11.2 13.4
3 Pointers Attempted 32.6 33.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 40.1%
Free Throws Made 20.0 15.7
Free Throws Attempted 23.9 20.4
Free Throw % 83.7% 76.8%
Ball Control UTA DEN
Rebounds 48.4 48.4
Rebounds - Defensive 34.6 35.9
Rebounds - Offensive 13.8 12.5
Turnovers 12.4 10.0
Blocked Shots 4.9 7.1
Steals 5.3 7.0
Fouls 15.9 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTA DEN
Total Possessions 101.1
Effective Scoring Chances 102.5 103.7
% of Possessions with UTA DEN
2 Point Attempt 47.9% 50.7%
3 Point Attempt 27.7% 29.0%
Player Fouled 16.3% 15.8%
Turnover 12.3% 9.9%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 5.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTA DEN
Shot Blocked 7.9% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 27.8% 26.6%